Milwaukee at Cleveland : Box Score Simulation

Friday Feb 10, 2012 7:30 pm - Cleveland, OH
Odds: Milwaukee by 1.5, Total Points: 193.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL CLE
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MIL CLE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 83.8 79.1
Field Goal % 49.4% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 56.5 49.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.2% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 27.2 30.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 36.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 26.6
Free Throw % 77.5% 78.3%
Ball Control MIL CLE
Rebounds 45.4 44.5
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 8.9
Turnovers 12.3 14.1
Blocked Shots 4.8 3.2
Steals 7.9 6.2
Fouls 21.0 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL CLE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MIL CLE
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 27.1%
Player Fouled 17.5% 21.1%
Turnover 12.3% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL CLE
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 19.9%