Charlotte at Boston: Box Score Simulation

Monday Jan 14, 2013 7:30 pm - Boston, MA
Odds: Boston by 11, Total Points: 192

Matchup Menu: CHA @ BOS

More Games From Jan 14, 2013

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA BOS
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CHA BOS
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 90.8 89.2
Field Goal % 42.5% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 54.0 45.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 60.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 36.8 44.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 39.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 18.6
Free Throw % 78.9% 79.1%
Ball Control CHA BOS
Rebounds 45.1 54.4
Rebounds - Defensive 34.4 42.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 12.0
Turnovers 11.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 5.8
Steals 5.1 5.9
Fouls 14.5 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA BOS
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CHA BOS
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 39.2%
Player Fouled 13.7% 14.6%
Turnover 11.3% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA BOS
Shot Blocked 6.6% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 26.0%