Charlotte at Cleveland: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Jan 3, 2012 7:00 pm - Cleveland, OH
Odds: Cleveland by 4, Total Points: 189

Matchup Menu: CHA @ CLE

More Games From Jan 3, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA CLE
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CHA CLE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 85.2 85.7
Field Goal % 46.0% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 51.6 47.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 59.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 33.6 38.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 37.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 19.5
Free Throw % 78.9% 76.1%
Ball Control CHA CLE
Rebounds 43.7 49.3
Rebounds - Defensive 34.4 38.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 10.8
Turnovers 12.7 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.9
Steals 6.6 6.4
Fouls 16.2 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA CLE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CHA CLE
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 34.4%
Player Fouled 15.0% 16.4%
Turnover 12.8% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA CLE
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.4% 23.9%