Philadelphia at Indiana : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Apr 21, 2012 7:00 pm - Indianapolis, IN
Odds: Indiana by 4.5, Total Points: 190

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI IND
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PHI IND
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 82.9 83.5
Field Goal % 43.7% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 51.7 62.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 37.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 26.3
Free Throw % 77.1% 80.1%
Ball Control PHI IND
Rebounds 47.7 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.8 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 11.3
Turnovers 16.0 14.0
Blocked Shots 5.1 5.5
Steals 8.2 8.3
Fouls 19.6 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI IND
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PHI IND
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 54.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 18.4%
Player Fouled 17.5% 19.3%
Turnover 15.7% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI IND
Shot Blocked 6.7% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 24.0%