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Philadelphia at Boston : Box Score Simulation

Saturday May 12, 2012 8:00 pm - Boston, MA
Odds: Boston by 5.5, Total Points: 171

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI BOS
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PHI BOS
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 83.8 88.6
Field Goal % 43.1% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 56.0 65.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 27.9 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 33.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.5 27.9
Free Throw % 70.4% 79.4%
Ball Control PHI BOS
Rebounds 48.7 54.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 40.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 14.1
Turnovers 16.0 13.0
Blocked Shots 6.3 5.0
Steals 7.1 8.6
Fouls 20.1 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI BOS
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PHI BOS
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 54.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 19.4%
Player Fouled 18.2% 19.4%
Turnover 15.4% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI BOS
Shot Blocked 5.8% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 27.3%