Minnesota at Washington: Run Line Analysis

Wednesday May 6, 2026 6:45 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Minnesota by 1.5, Total Points: 9.5

Run Line Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Minnesota -1.5 Official TR Pick Model shows 2% value
Minnesota -1.5 Decision Tree Model shows 19% value
Minnesota -1.5 Similar Games Model shows 8% value

Run Line Situational Trends

Record MIN adv WAS
Season 40-35-0 47-28-0
vs Division 12-12-0 14-9-0
vs Conference 29-25-0 34-23-0
Streak W3 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 4-1-0
Last 10 5-5-0 6-4-0
Home 22-17-0 19-19-0
Away 18-18-0 28-9-0

Minnesota Detailed Run Line Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
03/26 Away Baltimore +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
03/28 Away Baltimore +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
03/29 Away Baltimore +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
03/30 Away Kansas City +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
04/01 Away Kansas City -1.5 L by 4 -5.5
04/02 Away Kansas City +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
04/03 Home Tampa Bay +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
04/04 Home Tampa Bay +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
04/05 Home Tampa Bay +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
04/06 Home Detroit +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
04/07 Home Detroit +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
04/08 Home Detroit +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
04/09 Home Detroit +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
04/10 Away Toronto +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
04/11 Away Toronto -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
04/12 Away Toronto +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
04/13 Home Boston +1.5 W by 7 +8.5
04/14 Home Boston +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
04/15 Home Boston +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
04/17 Home Cincinnati -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
04/18 Home Cincinnati -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
04/19 Home Cincinnati +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
04/21 Away NY Mets +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
04/22 Away NY Mets +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
04/23 Away NY Mets -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
04/24 Away Tampa Bay +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
04/25 Away Tampa Bay +1.5 L by 5 -3.5
04/26 Away Tampa Bay +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
04/27 Home Seattle +1.5 W by 7 +8.5
04/28 Home Seattle +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
04/29 Home Seattle +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
04/30 Home Toronto +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
05/01 Home Toronto +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
05/02 Home Toronto +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
05/03 Home Toronto +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
05/05 Away Washington -1.5 W by 8 +6.5
05/06 Away Washington -1.5 L by 13 -14.5
05/07 Away Washington -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
05/08 Away Cleveland +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
05/09 Away Cleveland -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
05/10 Away Cleveland +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
05/12 Home Miami +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
05/13 Home Miami +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
05/14 Home Miami +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
05/15 Home Milwaukee +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
05/16 Home Milwaukee +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
05/17 Home Milwaukee +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
05/18 Home Houston +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
05/19 Home Houston -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
05/20 Home Houston -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
05/22 Away Boston +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
05/23 Away Boston +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
05/24 Away Boston +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
05/25 Away Chi Sox -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
05/26 Away Chi Sox -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
05/27 Away Chi Sox -1.5 L by 13 -14.5
05/28 Away Chi Sox +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
05/29 Away Pittsburgh +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
05/30 Away Pittsburgh +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
05/31 Away Pittsburgh +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
06/01 Home Chi Sox -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
06/02 Home Chi Sox +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
06/03 Home Chi Sox -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
06/04 Home Kansas City +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
06/05 Home Kansas City +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
06/06 Home Kansas City -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
06/07 Home Kansas City +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
06/09 Away Detroit +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
06/10 Away Detroit +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
06/11 Away Detroit +1.5 L by 11 -9.5
06/12 Home St. Louis -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
06/13 Home St. Louis +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
06/14 Home St. Louis +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
06/15 Away Texas +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
06/16 Away Texas +1.5 W by 10 +11.5

Washington Detailed Run Line Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
03/26 Away Chi Cubs +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
03/28 Away Chi Cubs +1.5 L by 8 -6.5
03/29 Away Chi Cubs +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
03/30 Away Philadelphia +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
03/31 Away Philadelphia +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
04/01 Away Philadelphia +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
04/03 Home LA Dodgers +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
04/04 Home LA Dodgers +1.5 L by 5 -3.5
04/05 Home LA Dodgers +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
04/06 Home St. Louis +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
04/07 Home St. Louis +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
04/08 Home St. Louis +1.5 L by 5 -3.5
04/10 Away Milwaukee +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
04/11 Away Milwaukee +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
04/12 Away Milwaukee +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
04/13 Away Pittsburgh +1.5 L by 11 -9.5
04/14 Away Pittsburgh +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
04/15 Away Pittsburgh +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
04/16 Away Pittsburgh +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
04/17 Home SF Giants +1.5 L by 5 -3.5
04/18 Home SF Giants +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
04/19 Home SF Giants +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
04/20 Home Atlanta +1.5 L by 5 -3.5
04/21 Home Atlanta +1.5 W by 7 +8.5
04/22 Home Atlanta +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
04/23 Home Atlanta +1.5 L by 5 -3.5
04/24 Away Chi Sox +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
04/25 Away Chi Sox +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
04/26 Away Chi Sox -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
04/28 Away NY Mets +1.5 L by 8 -6.5
04/29 Away NY Mets +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
04/30 Away NY Mets +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
05/01 Home Milwaukee +1.5 L by 5 -3.5
05/02 Home Milwaukee +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
05/03 Home Milwaukee +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
05/05 Home Minnesota +1.5 L by 8 -6.5
05/06 Home Minnesota +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
05/07 Home Minnesota +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
05/08 Away Miami +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
05/09 Away Miami +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
05/10 Away Miami +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
05/12 Away Cincinnati +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
05/13 Away Cincinnati +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
05/14 Away Cincinnati +1.5 L by 14 -12.5
05/15 Home Baltimore +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
05/16 Home Baltimore +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
05/17 Home Baltimore +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
05/18 Home NY Mets +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
05/19 Home NY Mets +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
05/20 Home NY Mets +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
05/21 Home NY Mets +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
05/22 Away Atlanta +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
05/23 Away Atlanta +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
05/24 Away Atlanta +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
05/25 Away Cleveland +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
05/26 Away Cleveland +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
05/27 Away Cleveland +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
05/29 Home San Diego +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
05/30 Home San Diego +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
05/31 Home San Diego +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
06/01 Home Miami -1.5 L by 4 -5.5
06/02 Home Miami +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
06/03 Home Miami +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
06/05 Away Arizona +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
06/06 Away Arizona +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
06/07 Away Arizona +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
06/08 Away SF Giants +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
06/09 Away SF Giants -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
06/10 Away SF Giants -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
06/12 Home Seattle +1.5 L by 8 -6.5
06/13 Home Seattle +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
06/14 Home Seattle +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
06/15 Home Kansas City -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
06/16 Home Kansas City -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
06/17 Home Kansas City -1.5 L by 4 -5.5