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Tampa Bay at Toronto: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Sep 28, 2025 3:07 pm - Toronto, Ont
Odds: Toronto by 1.5, Total Points: 7.5

Matchup Menu: TB @ TOR

More Games From Sep 28, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 7.5 Official TR Pick 51% odds to go under
Under 7.5 Decision Tree 51% odds to go under
Over 7.5 Similar Games 56% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record TB TOR
Season 72-81-9 98-75-7
vs Division 23-26-3 29-25-2
vs Conference 53-55-6 68-53-4
Streak Ov 1 Ov 1
Last 5 2-2-1 2-2-1
Last 10 5-4-1 5-4-1
Home 36-41-4 52-37-2
Away 36-40-5 46-38-5

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Tampa Bay Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/28 Home Colorado 8.0 3-2 Under -3.0
03/29 Home Colorado 8.5 1-2 Under -5.5
03/30 Home Colorado 7.5 6-4 Over +2.5
03/31 Home Pittsburgh 8.5 6-1 Under -1.5
04/01 Home Pittsburgh 9.0 7-0 Under -2.0
04/02 Home Pittsburgh 7.0 2-4 Under -1.0
04/04 Away Texas 8.5 2-5 Under -1.5
04/05 Away Texas 7.5 4-6 Over +2.5
04/06 Away Texas 8.0 3-4 Under -1.0
04/08 Home LA Angels 8.5 3-4 Under -1.5
04/09 Home LA Angels 8.0 5-4 Over +1.0
04/10 Home LA Angels 8.5 1-11 Over +3.5
04/11 Home Atlanta 9.0 6-3 Push 0.0
04/12 Home Atlanta 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
04/13 Home Atlanta 8.5 8-3 Over +2.5
04/14 Home Boston 8.5 16-1 Over +8.5
04/15 Home Boston 9.0 4-7 Over +2.0
04/16 Home Boston 9.0 0-1 Under -8.0
04/17 Home NY Yankees 9.0 3-6 Push 0.0
04/18 Home NY Yankees 8.0 0-1 Under -7.0
04/19 Home NY Yankees 8.5 10-8 Over +9.5
04/20 Home NY Yankees 8.0 0-4 Under -4.0
04/22 Away Arizona 9.0 1-5 Under -3.0
04/23 Away Arizona 9.0 7-6 Over +4.0
04/24 Away Arizona 8.5 7-4 Over +2.5
04/25 Away San Diego 7.0 1-0 Under -6.0
04/26 Away San Diego 7.0 4-1 Under -2.0
04/27 Away San Diego 8.5 4-2 Under -2.5
04/29 Home Kansas City 8.5 1-3 Under -4.5
04/30 Home Kansas City 8.0 0-3 Under -5.0
05/01 Home Kansas City 8.5 2-8 Over +1.5
05/02 Away NY Yankees 8.5 0-3 Under -5.5
05/03 Away NY Yankees 9.5 3-2 Under -4.5
05/04 Away NY Yankees 9.0 7-5 Over +3.0
05/06 Home Philadelphia 8.0 4-8 Over +4.0
05/07 Home Philadelphia 8.5 0-7 Under -1.5
05/08 Home Philadelphia 8.5 6-7 Over +4.5
05/09 Home Milwaukee 9.0 4-3 Under -2.0
05/10 Home Milwaukee 9.5 3-2 Under -4.5
05/11 Home Milwaukee 9.0 2-4 Under -3.0
05/13 Away Toronto 8.0 11-9 Over +12.0
05/14 Away Toronto 8.0 1-3 Under -4.0
05/15 Away Toronto 8.0 8-3 Over +3.0
05/16 Away Miami 8.5 4-9 Over +4.5
05/17 Away Miami 8.0 4-0 Under -4.0
05/18 Away Miami 9.0 1-5 Under -3.0
05/19 Home Houston 9.0 3-4 Under -2.0
05/20 Home Houston 9.0 3-2 Under -4.0
05/21 Home Houston 8.5 8-4 Over +3.5
05/23 Home Toronto 8.5 3-1 Under -4.5
05/24 Home Toronto 8.0 3-1 Under -4.0
05/25 Home Toronto 9.0 13-0 Over +4.0
05/26 Home Minnesota 9.0 7-2 Push 0.0
05/27 Home Minnesota 8.5 2-4 Under -2.5
05/28 Home Minnesota 8.0 5-0 Under -3.0
05/29 Away Houston 8.0 13-3 Over +8.0
05/30 Away Houston 7.5 1-2 Under -4.5
05/31 Away Houston 8.5 16-3 Over +10.5
06/01 Away Houston 7.5 0-1 Under -6.5
06/03 Home Texas 7.5 5-1 Under -1.5
06/04 Home Texas 8.5 5-4 Over +0.5
06/05 Home Texas 8.5 4-3 Under -1.5
06/06 Home Miami 9.0 4-3 Under -2.0
06/07 Home Miami 8.5 10-11 Over +12.5
06/08 Home Miami 8.5 3-2 Under -3.5
06/09 Away Boston 8.5 10-8 Over +9.5
06/10 Away Boston 9.0 1-3 Under -5.0
06/11 Away Boston 10.0 3-4 Under -3.0
06/13 Away NY Mets 8.0 7-5 Over +4.0
06/14 Away NY Mets 7.0 8-4 Over +5.0
06/15 Away NY Mets 7.5 9-0 Over +1.5
06/16 Home Baltimore 8.5 7-1 Under -0.5
06/17 Home Baltimore 9.5 1-5 Under -3.5
06/18 Home Baltimore 8.5 12-8 Over +11.5
06/19 Home Baltimore 8.0 1-4 Under -3.0
06/20 Home Detroit 7.5 14-8 Over +14.5
06/21 Home Detroit 8.0 8-3 Over +3.0
06/22 Home Detroit 8.0 3-9 Over +4.0
06/24 Away Kansas City 8.5 5-1 Under -2.5
06/25 Away Kansas City 9.0 3-0 Under -6.0
06/26 Away Kansas City 10.0 4-0 Under -6.0
06/27 Away Baltimore 8.5 8-22 Over +21.5
06/28 Away Baltimore 9.5 11-3 Over +4.5
06/29 Away Baltimore 9.5 1-5 Under -3.5
06/30 Home Sacramento 8.0 4-6 Over +2.0
07/01 Home Sacramento 9.0 3-4 Under -2.0
07/02 Home Sacramento 9.0 6-5 Over +2.0
07/04 Away Minnesota 10.0 3-4 Under -3.0
07/05 Away Minnesota 10.0 5-6 Over +1.0
07/06 Away Minnesota 8.5 7-5 Over +3.5
07/07 Away Detroit 8.5 1-5 Under -2.5
07/08 Away Detroit 8.0 2-4 Under -2.0
07/09 Away Detroit 8.0 7-3 Over +2.0
07/10 Away Boston 9.0 3-4 Under -2.0
07/11 Away Boston 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
07/12 Away Boston 8.0 0-1 Under -7.0
07/13 Away Boston 8.5 1-4 Under -3.5
07/18 Home Baltimore 9.0 11-1 Over +3.0
07/19 Home Baltimore 9.0 4-3 Under -2.0
07/20 Home Baltimore 8.5 3-5 Under -0.5
07/21 Home Chi Sox 9.0 3-8 Over +2.0
07/22 Home Chi Sox 8.0 4-3 Under -1.0
07/23 Home Chi Sox 9.0 9-11 Over +11.0
07/25 Away Cincinnati 9.5 2-7 Under -0.5
07/26 Away Cincinnati 9.0 2-6 Under -1.0
07/27 Away Cincinnati 9.5 1-2 Under -6.5
07/28 Away NY Yankees 8.5 4-2 Under -2.5
07/29 Away NY Yankees 8.5 5-7 Over +3.5
07/30 Away NY Yankees 9.0 4-5 Push 0.0
07/31 Away NY Yankees 8.5 4-7 Over +2.5
08/01 Home LA Dodgers 9.0 0-5 Under -4.0
08/02 Home LA Dodgers 8.0 4-0 Under -4.0
08/03 Home LA Dodgers 8.5 0-3 Under -5.5
08/04 Away LA Angels 8.5 1-5 Under -2.5
08/05 Away LA Angels 8.0 7-3 Over +2.0
08/06 Away LA Angels 9.0 5-4 Push 0.0
08/08 Away Seattle 7.0 2-3 Under -2.0
08/09 Away Seattle 8.0 4-7 Over +3.0
08/10 Away Seattle 7.5 3-6 Over +1.5
08/11 Away Sacramento 10.0 7-4 Over +1.0
08/12 Away Sacramento 9.5 0-6 Under -3.5
08/13 Away Sacramento 9.5 8-2 Over +0.5
08/15 Away SF Giants 8.0 7-6 Over +5.0
08/16 Away SF Giants 8.0 2-1 Under -5.0
08/17 Away SF Giants 7.0 1-7 Over +1.0
08/19 Home NY Yankees 8.0 3-13 Over +8.0
08/20 Home NY Yankees 8.5 4-6 Over +1.5
08/21 Home St. Louis 8.5 4-7 Over +2.5
08/22 Home St. Louis 9.0 10-6 Over +7.0
08/24 Home St. Louis 9.0 7-2 Push 0.0
08/25 Away Cleveland 7.5 9-0 Over +1.5
08/26 Away Cleveland 7.5 0-3 Under -4.5
08/27 Away Cleveland 7.0 3-4 Push 0.0
08/29 Away Washington 9.0 4-1 Under -4.0
08/30 Away Washington 8.5 4-1 Under -3.5
08/31 Away Washington 8.0 7-4 Over +3.0
09/01 Home Seattle 8.5 10-2 Over +3.5
09/02 Home Seattle 7.5 6-5 Over +3.5
09/03 Home Seattle 8.5 9-4 Over +4.5
09/04 Home Cleveland 8.0 4-2 Under -2.0
09/05 Home Cleveland 7.0 1-7 Over +1.0
09/06 Home Cleveland 8.5 2-3 Under -3.5
09/07 Home Cleveland 8.0 1-2 Under -5.0
09/09 Away Chi Sox 8.0 5-4 Over +1.0
09/10 Away Chi Sox 8.5 5-6 Over +2.5
09/11 Away Chi Sox 7.5 1-5 Under -1.5
09/12 Away Chi Cubs 7.0 4-6 Over +3.0
09/13 Away Chi Cubs 8.0 5-4 Over +1.0
09/14 Away Chi Cubs 7.0 3-4 Push 0.0
09/15 Home Toronto 8.0 1-2 Under -5.0
09/16 Home Toronto 8.0 5-6 Over +3.0
09/17 Home Toronto 7.5 2-1 Under -4.5
09/18 Home Toronto 7.5 4-0 Under -3.5
09/19 Home Boston 6.5 7-11 Over +11.5
09/20 Home Boston 8.0 3-6 Over +1.0
09/21 Home Boston 7.5 7-3 Over +2.5
09/23 Away Baltimore 8.5 0-6 Under -2.5
09/24 Away Baltimore 8.0 6-2 Push 0.0
09/25 Away Baltimore 8.5 5-6 Over +2.5
09/26 Away Toronto 8.0 2-4 Under -2.0
09/27 Away Toronto 8.5 1-5 Under -2.5
09/28 Away Toronto 7.5 4-13 Over +9.5

Toronto Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/27 Home Baltimore 8.5 2-12 Over +5.5
03/28 Home Baltimore 8.5 8-2 Over +1.5
03/29 Home Baltimore 8.5 5-9 Over +5.5
03/30 Home Baltimore 9.0 3-1 Under -5.0
03/31 Home Washington 8.5 5-2 Under -1.5
04/01 Home Washington 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
04/02 Home Washington 8.5 4-2 Under -2.5
04/04 Away NY Mets 7.5 0-5 Under -2.5
04/05 Away NY Mets 7.5 2-3 Under -2.5
04/06 Away NY Mets 7.0 1-2 Under -4.0
04/07 Away Boston 8.0 6-2 Push 0.0
04/08 Away Boston 8.0 6-1 Under -1.0
04/09 Away Boston 8.5 2-1 Under -5.5
04/10 Away Boston 8.0 3-4 Under -1.0
04/12 Away Baltimore 8.0 4-5 Over +1.0
04/13 Away Baltimore 8.5 7-6 Over +4.5
04/14 Home Atlanta 8.5 4-8 Over +3.5
04/15 Home Atlanta 7.5 6-3 Over +1.5
04/16 Home Atlanta 7.0 3-1 Under -3.0
04/18 Home Seattle 8.0 3-1 Under -4.0
04/19 Home Seattle 7.5 4-8 Over +4.5
04/20 Home Seattle 8.5 3-8 Over +2.5
04/21 Away Houston 7.5 0-7 Under -0.5
04/22 Away Houston 8.0 1-5 Under -2.0
04/23 Away Houston 8.0 1-3 Under -4.0
04/25 Away NY Yankees 9.0 4-2 Under -3.0
04/27 Away NY Yankees 8.0 2-11 Over +5.0
04/27 Away NY Yankees 8.5 1-5 Under -2.5
04/29 Home Boston 7.5 2-10 Over +4.5
04/30 Home Boston 9.5 7-6 Over +3.5
05/01 Home Boston 8.5 4-2 Under -2.5
05/02 Home Cleveland 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
05/03 Home Cleveland 7.5 3-5 Over +0.5
05/04 Home Cleveland 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
05/06 Away LA Angels 9.0 3-8 Over +2.0
05/07 Away LA Angels 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
05/08 Away LA Angels 8.0 8-5 Over +5.0
05/09 Away Seattle 7.0 6-3 Over +2.0
05/10 Away Seattle 8.0 6-3 Over +1.0
05/11 Away Seattle 8.0 9-1 Over +2.0
05/13 Home Tampa Bay 8.0 9-11 Over +12.0
05/14 Home Tampa Bay 8.0 3-1 Under -4.0
05/15 Home Tampa Bay 8.0 3-8 Over +3.0
05/16 Home Detroit 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
05/17 Home Detroit 8.5 2-1 Under -5.5
05/18 Home Detroit 9.0 2-3 Under -4.0
05/20 Home San Diego 7.5 3-0 Under -4.5
05/21 Home San Diego 9.0 14-0 Over +5.0
05/22 Home San Diego 8.5 7-6 Over +4.5
05/23 Away Tampa Bay 8.5 1-3 Under -4.5
05/24 Away Tampa Bay 8.0 1-3 Under -4.0
05/25 Away Tampa Bay 9.0 0-13 Over +4.0
05/26 Away Texas 7.0 2-1 Under -4.0
05/27 Away Texas 7.5 0-2 Under -5.5
05/28 Away Texas 8.5 2-0 Under -6.5
05/29 Home Sacramento 9.0 12-0 Over +3.0
05/30 Home Sacramento 8.5 11-7 Over +9.5
05/31 Home Sacramento 9.0 8-7 Over +6.0
06/01 Home Sacramento 8.0 8-4 Over +4.0
06/03 Home Philadelphia 8.5 3-8 Over +2.5
06/04 Home Philadelphia 9.0 2-1 Under -6.0
06/05 Home Philadelphia 8.5 9-1 Over +1.5
06/06 Away Minnesota 8.5 6-4 Over +1.5
06/07 Away Minnesota 8.0 5-4 Over +1.0
06/08 Away Minnesota 8.5 3-6 Over +0.5
06/09 Away St. Louis 8.5 5-4 Over +0.5
06/10 Away St. Louis 8.0 10-9 Over +11.0
06/11 Away St. Louis 8.5 5-2 Under -1.5
06/13 Away Philadelphia 8.0 0-8 Push 0.0
06/14 Away Philadelphia 8.0 2-3 Under -3.0
06/15 Away Philadelphia 7.0 4-11 Over +8.0
06/17 Home Arizona 8.5 5-4 Over +0.5
06/18 Home Arizona 8.5 8-1 Over +0.5
06/19 Home Arizona 8.5 5-9 Over +5.5
06/20 Home Chi Sox 8.5 1-7 Under -0.5
06/21 Home Chi Sox 8.0 7-1 Push 0.0
06/22 Home Chi Sox 8.0 2-4 Under -2.0
06/24 Away Cleveland 9.0 10-6 Over +7.0
06/25 Away Cleveland 8.0 4-5 Over +1.0
06/26 Away Cleveland 7.5 6-0 Under -1.5
06/27 Away Boston 8.5 9-0 Over +0.5
06/28 Away Boston 9.0 1-15 Over +7.0
06/29 Away Boston 9.5 5-3 Under -1.5
06/30 Home NY Yankees 8.5 5-4 Over +0.5
07/01 Home NY Yankees 7.5 12-5 Over +9.5
07/02 Home NY Yankees 8.5 11-9 Over +11.5
07/03 Home NY Yankees 8.5 8-5 Over +4.5
07/04 Home LA Angels 9.0 4-3 Under -2.0
07/05 Home LA Angels 9.5 4-3 Under -2.5
07/06 Home LA Angels 9.0 3-2 Under -4.0
07/07 Away Chi Sox 8.5 8-4 Over +3.5
07/08 Away Chi Sox 9.0 6-1 Under -2.0
07/09 Away Chi Sox 8.0 1-2 Under -5.0
07/11 Away Sacramento 10.5 7-6 Over +2.5
07/12 Away Sacramento 10.5 3-4 Under -3.5
07/13 Away Sacramento 10.0 3-6 Under -1.0
07/18 Home SF Giants 8.5 4-0 Under -4.5
07/19 Home SF Giants 7.5 6-3 Over +1.5
07/20 Home SF Giants 8.0 8-6 Over +6.0
07/21 Home NY Yankees 8.5 4-1 Under -3.5
07/22 Home NY Yankees 9.0 4-5 Push 0.0
07/23 Home NY Yankees 8.5 8-4 Over +3.5
07/24 Away Detroit 8.5 11-4 Over +6.5
07/25 Away Detroit 9.0 6-2 Under -1.0
07/26 Away Detroit 7.0 6-1 Push 0.0
07/27 Away Detroit 8.5 4-10 Over +5.5
07/28 Away Baltimore 9.0 4-11 Over +6.0
07/29 Away Baltimore 10.0 4-16 Over +10.0
07/29 Away Baltimore 9.5 2-3 Under -4.5
07/30 Away Baltimore 9.5 9-8 Over +7.5
08/01 Home Kansas City 7.5 3-9 Over +4.5
08/02 Home Kansas City 8.0 4-2 Under -2.0
08/03 Home Kansas City 8.0 4-7 Over +3.0
08/04 Away Colorado 12.0 15-1 Over +4.0
08/05 Away Colorado 11.5 10-4 Over +2.5
08/06 Away Colorado 11.5 20-1 Over +9.5
08/08 Away LA Dodgers 9.0 1-5 Under -3.0
08/09 Away LA Dodgers 8.0 1-9 Over +2.0
08/10 Away LA Dodgers 8.5 5-4 Over +0.5
08/12 Home Chi Cubs 9.0 5-1 Under -3.0
08/13 Home Chi Cubs 8.5 1-4 Under -3.5
08/14 Home Chi Cubs 7.5 2-1 Under -4.5
08/15 Home Texas 7.5 6-5 Over +3.5
08/16 Home Texas 8.5 14-2 Over +7.5
08/17 Home Texas 7.5 4-10 Over +6.5
08/18 Away Pittsburgh 7.0 2-5 Push 0.0
08/19 Away Pittsburgh 7.5 7-3 Over +2.5
08/20 Away Pittsburgh 8.5 1-2 Under -5.5
08/22 Away Miami 8.0 5-2 Under -1.0
08/23 Away Miami 8.5 7-6 Over +4.5
08/24 Away Miami 7.5 3-5 Over +0.5
08/25 Home Minnesota 7.5 10-4 Over +6.5
08/26 Home Minnesota 8.5 5-7 Over +3.5
08/27 Home Minnesota 9.0 9-8 Over +8.0
08/29 Home Milwaukee 8.0 2-7 Over +1.0
08/30 Home Milwaukee 8.5 1-4 Under -3.5
08/31 Home Milwaukee 7.5 8-4 Over +4.5
09/01 Away Cincinnati 7.5 4-5 Over +1.5
09/02 Away Cincinnati 9.0 12-9 Over +12.0
09/03 Away Cincinnati 8.5 13-9 Over +13.5
09/05 Away NY Yankees 9.0 7-1 Under -1.0
09/06 Away NY Yankees 10.0 1-3 Under -6.0
09/07 Away NY Yankees 8.0 3-4 Under -1.0
09/09 Home Houston 8.0 4-3 Under -1.0
09/10 Home Houston 8.5 2-3 Under -3.5
09/11 Home Houston 8.5 6-0 Under -2.5
09/12 Home Baltimore 7.5 6-1 Under -0.5
09/13 Home Baltimore 8.5 5-4 Over +0.5
09/14 Home Baltimore 8.0 11-2 Over +5.0
09/15 Away Tampa Bay 8.0 2-1 Under -5.0
09/16 Away Tampa Bay 8.0 6-5 Over +3.0
09/17 Away Tampa Bay 7.5 1-2 Under -4.5
09/18 Away Tampa Bay 7.5 0-4 Under -3.5
09/19 Away Kansas City 9.0 1-20 Over +12.0
09/20 Away Kansas City 8.0 1-2 Under -5.0
09/21 Away Kansas City 8.5 8-5 Over +4.5
09/23 Home Boston 8.0 1-4 Under -3.0
09/24 Home Boston 7.0 1-7 Over +1.0
09/25 Home Boston 7.5 6-1 Under -0.5
09/26 Home Tampa Bay 8.0 4-2 Under -2.0
09/27 Home Tampa Bay 8.5 5-1 Under -2.5
09/28 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 13-4 Over +9.5
10/04 Home NY Yankees 8.0 10-1 Over +3.0
10/05 Home NY Yankees 8.0 13-7 Over +12.0
10/07 Away NY Yankees 8.0 6-9 Over +7.0
10/08 Away NY Yankees 8.0 5-2 Under -1.0
10/12 Home Seattle 8.0 1-3 Under -4.0
10/13 Home Seattle 7.0 3-10 Over +6.0
10/15 Away Seattle 7.0 13-4 Over +10.0
10/16 Away Seattle 7.5 8-2 Over +2.5
10/17 Away Seattle 7.0 2-6 Over +1.0
10/19 Home Seattle 7.5 6-2 Over +0.5
10/20 Home Seattle 7.5 4-3 Under -0.5
10/24 Home LA Dodgers 7.5 11-4 Over +7.5
10/25 Home LA Dodgers 7.5 1-5 Under -1.5
10/27 Away LA Dodgers 8.0 5-6 Over +3.0
10/28 Away LA Dodgers 8.0 6-2 Push 0.0
10/29 Away LA Dodgers 8.5 6-1 Under -1.5
10/31 Home LA Dodgers 7.5 1-3 Under -3.5
11/01 Home LA Dodgers 8.0 4-5 Over +1.0