Tampa Bay at Toronto : Money Line Analysis
Monday May 14, 2012 7:07 pm -
Toronto, Ont
Odds:
Toronto by 1.5,
Total Points:
8
Matchup Menu: TB @ TOR
Money Line Predictions
| Value Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay +135 | Official TR Pick | Model shows 2% value |
| Tampa Bay +135 | Power Ratings | Model shows 7% value |
| Tampa Bay +135 | Decision Tree | Model shows 2% value |
| Toronto -143 | Similar Games | Model shows 10% value |
Money Line Situational Trends
| Record | TB | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 60-61 | 57-62 | |
| vs Division | 24-28 | 20-29 | |
| vs Conference | 52-54 | 48-54 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 31-30 | 32-29 | |
| Away | 29-31 | 25-33 |
Tampa Bay Detailed Win/Loss Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Score | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02 | Home | NY Yankees | 7-3 | W | +4.0 |
| 04/04 | Home | NY Yankees | 0-5 | L | -5.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | NY Yankees | 4-1 | W | +3.0 |
| 04/06 | Home | Toronto | 2-5 | L | -3.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Toronto | 10-8 | W | +2.0 |
| 04/08 | Home | Toronto | 3-2 | W | +1.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Toronto | 7-2 | W | +5.0 |
| 04/10 | Away | NY Yankees | 1-8 | L | -7.0 |
| 04/12 | Away | NY Yankees | 4-8 | L | -4.0 |
| 04/13 | Away | NY Yankees | 2-3 | L | -1.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Boston | 10-5 | W | +5.0 |
| 04/15 | Away | Boston | 1-2 | L | -1.0 |
| 04/16 | Away | Boston | 5-7 | L | -2.0 |
| 04/17 | Away | Boston | 3-4 | L | -1.0 |
| 04/18 | Home | Detroit | 5-1 | W | +4.0 |
| 04/19 | Home | Detroit | 8-7 | W | +1.0 |
| 04/20 | Home | Detroit | 8-1 | W | +7.0 |
| 04/21 | Home | Houston | 3-6 | L | -3.0 |
| 04/22 | Home | Houston | 6-3 | W | +3.0 |
| 04/23 | Home | Houston | 4-6 | L | -2.0 |
| 04/24 | Away | Baltimore | 3-6 | L | -3.0 |
| 04/25 | Away | Baltimore | 2-0 | W | +2.0 |
| 04/26 | Away | Baltimore | 4-5 | L | -1.0 |
| 04/28 | Away | Toronto | 7-4 | W | +3.0 |
| 04/29 | Away | Toronto | 1-4 | L | -3.0 |
| 04/30 | Away | Toronto | 1-3 | L | -2.0 |
| 05/01 | Away | Miami | 4-2 | W | +2.0 |
| 05/02 | Away | Miami | 3-1 | W | +2.0 |
| 05/03 | Home | Miami | 6-10 | L | -4.0 |
| 05/04 | Home | Miami | 5-1 | W | +4.0 |
| 05/05 | Home | Toronto | 4-8 | L | -4.0 |
| 05/06 | Home | Toronto | 6-1 | W | +5.0 |
| 05/07 | Home | Toronto | 1-2 | L | -1.0 |
| 05/08 | Home | Kansas City | 3-7 | L | -4.0 |
| 05/09 | Home | Kansas City | 6-7 | L | -1.0 |
| 05/10 | Home | Kansas City | 12-1 | W | +11.0 |
| 05/11 | Home | Kansas City | 0-6 | L | -6.0 |
| 05/12 | Away | Boston | 5-4 | W | +1.0 |
| 05/13 | Away | Boston | 3-6 | L | -3.0 |
| 05/14 | Away | Boston | 11-2 | W | +9.0 |
| 05/15 | Away | Cleveland | 7-8 | L | -1.0 |
| 05/16 | Away | Cleveland | 6-4 | W | +2.0 |
| 05/17 | Away | Cleveland | 7-4 | W | +3.0 |
| 05/19 | Home | NY Yankees | 5-4 | W | +1.0 |
| 05/20 | Home | NY Yankees | 9-5 | W | +4.0 |
| 05/21 | Home | NY Yankees | 2-3 | L | -1.0 |
| 05/22 | Home | LA Angels | 2-3 | L | -1.0 |
| 05/23 | Home | LA Angels | 0-4 | L | -4.0 |
| 05/24 | Home | LA Angels | 5-2 | W | +3.0 |
| 05/25 | Home | LA Angels | 4-0 | W | +4.0 |
| 05/26 | Away | Minnesota | 5-2 | W | +3.0 |
| 05/27 | Away | Minnesota | 3-5 | L | -2.0 |
| 05/28 | Away | Minnesota | 8-6 | W | +2.0 |
| 05/29 | Away | Texas | 10-8 | W | +2.0 |
| 05/30 | Away | Texas | 5-9 | L | -4.0 |
| 05/31 | Away | Texas | 7-5 | W | +2.0 |
| 06/02 | Away | Seattle | 4-12 | L | -8.0 |
| 06/03 | Away | Seattle | 2-9 | L | -7.0 |
| 06/04 | Away | Seattle | 1-7 | L | -6.0 |
| 06/06 | Home | Chi Sox | 2-4 | L | -2.0 |
| 06/07 | Home | Chi Sox | 3-1 | W | +2.0 |
| 06/08 | Home | Chi Sox | 7-5 | W | +2.0 |
| 06/09 | Home | Oakland | 13-4 | W | +9.0 |
| 06/10 | Home | Oakland | 6-5 | W | +1.0 |
| 06/10 | Home | Oakland | 2-7 | L | -5.0 |
| 06/11 | Home | Oakland | 5-4 | W | +1.0 |
| 06/13 | Away | Toronto | 8-1 | W | +7.0 |
| 06/14 | Away | Toronto | 6-7 | L | -1.0 |
| 06/15 | Away | Detroit | 3-5 | L | -2.0 |
| 06/16 | Away | Detroit | 4-13 | L | -9.0 |
| 06/17 | Away | Detroit | 3-2 | W | +1.0 |
| 06/18 | Away | Detroit | 9-1 | W | +8.0 |
| 06/19 | Home | Cincinnati | 3-7 | L | -4.0 |
| 06/20 | Home | Cincinnati | 6-5 | W | +1.0 |
| 06/21 | Home | Cincinnati | 8-3 | W | +5.0 |
| 06/23 | Home | Baltimore | 15-5 | W | +10.0 |
| 06/24 | Home | Baltimore | 3-8 | L | -5.0 |
| 06/25 | Home | Baltimore | 5-8 | L | -3.0 |
| 06/27 | Away | Pittsburgh | 4-2 | W | +2.0 |
| 06/28 | Away | Pittsburgh | 2-6 | L | -4.0 |
| 06/29 | Away | Pittsburgh | 0-4 | L | -4.0 |
| 06/30 | Away | Baltimore | 6-4 | W | +2.0 |
| 07/01 | Away | Baltimore | 10-3 | W | +7.0 |
| 07/02 | Away | Baltimore | 1-7 | L | -6.0 |
| 07/04 | Away | Chi Cubs | 6-5 | W | +1.0 |
| 07/05 | Away | Chi Cubs | 3-7 | L | -4.0 |
| 07/06 | Home | Boston | 4-1 | W | +3.0 |
| 07/07 | Home | Boston | 3-8 | L | -5.0 |
| 07/08 | Home | Boston | 1-0 | W | +1.0 |
| 07/09 | Home | Boston | 5-3 | W | +2.0 |
| 07/14 | Away | LA Angels | 2-1 | W | +1.0 |
| 07/15 | Away | LA Angels | 6-3 | W | +3.0 |
| 07/16 | Away | LA Angels | 3-4 | L | -1.0 |
| 07/17 | Away | Oakland | 3-2 | W | +1.0 |
| 07/18 | Away | Oakland | 4-3 | W | +1.0 |
| 07/19 | Away | Oakland | 2-7 | L | -5.0 |
| 07/21 | Home | Texas | 3-4 | L | -1.0 |
| 07/22 | Home | Texas | 3-4 | L | -1.0 |
| 07/23 | Home | Texas | 5-6 | L | -1.0 |
| 07/24 | Home | Baltimore | 0-5 | L | -5.0 |
| 07/25 | Home | Baltimore | 5-4 | W | +1.0 |
| 07/26 | Home | Baltimore | 5-1 | W | +4.0 |
| 07/27 | Away | NY Yankees | 5-6 | L | -1.0 |
| 07/28 | Away | NY Yankees | 1-6 | L | -5.0 |
| 07/29 | Away | NY Yankees | 4-5 | L | -1.0 |
| 07/30 | Away | NY Yankees | 5-3 | W | +2.0 |
| 07/31 | Away | Houston | 7-14 | L | -7.0 |
| 08/01 | Away | Houston | 6-4 | W | +2.0 |
| 08/02 | Away | Houston | 3-0 | W | +3.0 |
| 08/03 | Away | Houston | 5-3 | W | +2.0 |
| 08/04 | Home | Milwaukee | 0-2 | L | -2.0 |
| 08/05 | Home | Milwaukee | 0-3 | L | -3.0 |
| 08/06 | Home | Milwaukee | 2-1 | W | +1.0 |
| 08/08 | Home | Boston | 0-2 | L | -2.0 |
| 08/09 | Home | Boston | 2-8 | L | -6.0 |
| 08/10 | Home | Cleveland | 4-1 | W | +3.0 |
| 08/11 | Home | Cleveland | 0-5 | L | -5.0 |
| 08/12 | Home | Cleveland | 0-3 | L | -3.0 |
| 08/13 | Home | Cleveland | 3-4 | L | -1.0 |
| 08/14 | Away | Toronto | 1-2 | L | -1.0 |
| 08/15 | Away | Toronto | 6-4 | W | +2.0 |
Toronto Detailed Win/Loss Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Score | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03 | Away | Baltimore | 2-3 | L | -1.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Baltimore | 1-3 | L | -2.0 |
| 04/06 | Away | Tampa Bay | 5-2 | W | +3.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Tampa Bay | 8-10 | L | -2.0 |
| 04/08 | Away | Tampa Bay | 2-3 | L | -1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Tampa Bay | 2-7 | L | -5.0 |
| 04/11 | Home | Milwaukee | 3-4 | L | -1.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Milwaukee | 0-2 | L | -2.0 |
| 04/13 | Home | Baltimore | 1-2 | L | -1.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Baltimore | 4-6 | L | -2.0 |
| 04/15 | Home | Baltimore | 2-1 | W | +1.0 |
| 04/16 | Home | Baltimore | 4-11 | L | -7.0 |
| 04/18 | Home | Boston | 7-8 | L | -1.0 |
| 04/19 | Home | Boston | 3-0 | W | +3.0 |
| 04/20 | Home | Boston | 1-4 | L | -3.0 |
| 04/21 | Away | LA Angels | 8-7 | W | +1.0 |
| 04/22 | Away | LA Angels | 4-5 | L | -1.0 |
| 04/23 | Away | LA Angels | 6-2 | W | +4.0 |
| 04/24 | Away | LA Angels | 1-2 | L | -1.0 |
| 04/25 | Away | St. Louis | 6-5 | W | +1.0 |
| 04/27 | Away | St. Louis | 4-8 | L | -4.0 |
| 04/27 | Away | St. Louis | 4-6 | L | -2.0 |
| 04/28 | Home | Tampa Bay | 4-7 | L | -3.0 |
| 04/29 | Home | Tampa Bay | 4-1 | W | +3.0 |
| 04/30 | Home | Tampa Bay | 3-1 | W | +2.0 |
| 05/01 | Away | NY Yankees | 7-1 | W | +6.0 |
| 05/02 | Away | NY Yankees | 5-11 | L | -6.0 |
| 05/03 | Away | NY Yankees | 6-8 | L | -2.0 |
| 05/05 | Away | Tampa Bay | 8-4 | W | +4.0 |
| 05/06 | Away | Tampa Bay | 1-6 | L | -5.0 |
| 05/07 | Away | Tampa Bay | 2-1 | W | +1.0 |
| 05/08 | Home | Cleveland | 4-2 | W | +2.0 |
| 05/09 | Home | Cleveland | 0-6 | L | -6.0 |
| 05/10 | Home | Cleveland | 8-7 | W | +1.0 |
| 05/11 | Home | Seattle | 7-2 | W | +5.0 |
| 05/12 | Home | Seattle | 4-0 | W | +4.0 |
| 05/13 | Home | Seattle | 7-2 | W | +5.0 |
| 05/14 | Home | Seattle | 3-2 | W | +1.0 |
| 05/15 | Home | Atlanta | 6-10 | L | -4.0 |
| 05/16 | Home | Atlanta | 5-9 | L | -4.0 |
| 05/17 | Away | Atlanta | 4-8 | L | -4.0 |
| 05/18 | Away | Atlanta | 9-0 | W | +9.0 |
| 05/19 | Away | Baltimore | 3-5 | L | -2.0 |
| 05/20 | Away | Baltimore | 5-7 | L | -2.0 |
| 05/21 | Away | Baltimore | 3-1 | W | +2.0 |
| 05/23 | Away | Milwaukee | 4-3 | W | +1.0 |
| 05/24 | Away | Milwaukee | 8-4 | W | +4.0 |
| 05/26 | Home | Texas | 7-6 | W | +1.0 |
| 05/27 | Home | Texas | 3-1 | W | +2.0 |
| 05/28 | Home | Texas | 1-3 | L | -2.0 |
| 05/29 | Home | Cincinnati | 17-2 | W | +15.0 |
| 05/30 | Home | Cincinnati | 6-4 | W | +2.0 |
| 05/31 | Home | Cincinnati | 5-4 | W | +1.0 |
| 06/01 | Home | NY Yankees | 2-12 | L | -10.0 |
| 06/02 | Home | NY Yankees | 7-5 | W | +2.0 |
| 06/03 | Home | NY Yankees | 0-7 | L | -7.0 |
| 06/04 | Home | NY Yankees | 3-2 | W | +1.0 |
| 06/05 | Away | Oakland | 3-5 | L | -2.0 |
| 06/06 | Away | Oakland | 1-4 | L | -3.0 |
| 06/07 | Away | Oakland | 7-5 | W | +2.0 |
| 06/09 | Away | Seattle | 2-4 | L | -2.0 |
| 06/10 | Away | Seattle | 4-2 | W | +2.0 |
| 06/11 | Away | Seattle | 4-0 | W | +4.0 |
| 06/13 | Home | Tampa Bay | 1-8 | L | -7.0 |
| 06/14 | Home | Tampa Bay | 7-6 | W | +1.0 |
| 06/16 | Home | Chi Sox | 4-11 | L | -7.0 |
| 06/17 | Home | Chi Sox | 2-5 | L | -3.0 |
| 06/18 | Home | Chi Sox | 7-3 | W | +4.0 |
| 06/19 | Away | Texas | 7-6 | W | +1.0 |
| 06/20 | Away | Texas | 1-6 | L | -5.0 |
| 06/21 | Away | Texas | 7-5 | W | +2.0 |
| 06/22 | Away | Texas | 4-11 | L | -7.0 |
| 06/23 | Away | Kansas City | 4-5 | L | -1.0 |
| 06/24 | Away | Kansas City | 2-3 | L | -1.0 |
| 06/25 | Away | Kansas City | 8-2 | W | +6.0 |
| 06/27 | Home | Baltimore | 1-3 | L | -2.0 |
| 06/28 | Home | Baltimore | 4-0 | W | +4.0 |
| 06/29 | Home | Baltimore | 0-2 | L | -2.0 |
| 06/30 | Home | Boston | 4-7 | L | -3.0 |
| 07/01 | Home | Boston | 1-7 | L | -6.0 |
| 07/02 | Home | Boston | 1-15 | L | -14.0 |
| 07/03 | Away | NY Yankees | 3-6 | L | -3.0 |
| 07/04 | Away | NY Yankees | 4-1 | W | +3.0 |
| 07/05 | Away | NY Yankees | 7-6 | W | +1.0 |
| 07/06 | Home | Houston | 7-4 | W | +3.0 |
| 07/07 | Home | Houston | 2-12 | L | -10.0 |
| 07/08 | Home | Houston | 7-2 | W | +5.0 |
| 07/09 | Home | Houston | 1-19 | L | -18.0 |
| 07/14 | Away | Detroit | 7-2 | W | +5.0 |
| 07/15 | Away | Detroit | 1-11 | L | -10.0 |
| 07/16 | Away | Detroit | 5-6 | L | -1.0 |
| 07/17 | Away | Boston | 4-3 | W | +1.0 |
| 07/18 | Away | Boston | 4-5 | L | -1.0 |
| 07/19 | Away | Boston | 1-5 | L | -4.0 |
| 07/20 | Away | Boston | 8-6 | W | +2.0 |
| 07/21 | Away | Cleveland | 3-13 | L | -10.0 |
| 07/22 | Away | Cleveland | 1-2 | L | -1.0 |
| 07/23 | Away | Cleveland | 1-8 | L | -7.0 |
| 07/24 | Home | Oakland | 4-2 | W | +2.0 |
| 07/25 | Home | Oakland | 4-1 | W | +3.0 |
| 07/26 | Home | Oakland | 3-2 | W | +1.0 |
| 07/27 | Home | Oakland | 8-4 | W | +4.0 |
| 07/28 | Home | LA Angels | 2-7 | L | -5.0 |
| 07/29 | Home | LA Angels | 5-6 | L | -1.0 |
| 07/30 | Home | LA Angels | 11-10 | W | +1.0 |
| 07/31 | Away | Chi Sox | 6-7 | L | -1.0 |
| 08/01 | Away | Chi Sox | 8-4 | W | +4.0 |
| 08/02 | Away | Chi Sox | 5-1 | W | +4.0 |
| 08/04 | Away | Houston | 7-16 | L | -9.0 |
| 08/05 | Away | Houston | 4-3 | W | +1.0 |
| 08/06 | Away | Houston | 6-7 | L | -1.0 |
| 08/08 | Home | NY Yankees | 4-2 | W | +2.0 |
| 08/09 | Home | NY Yankees | 5-11 | L | -6.0 |
| 08/10 | Home | NY Yankees | 4-0 | W | +4.0 |
| 08/11 | Home | Pittsburgh | 2-4 | L | -2.0 |
| 08/12 | Home | Pittsburgh | 7-2 | W | +5.0 |
| 08/13 | Home | Pittsburgh | 7-1 | W | +6.0 |
| 08/14 | Home | Tampa Bay | 2-1 | W | +1.0 |
| 08/15 | Home | Tampa Bay | 4-6 | L | -2.0 |