St. Louis at Miami: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Apr 20, 2026 6:40 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 1.5, Total Points: 8.5

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Over 8.5 Official TR Pick 51% odds to go over
Over 8.5 Decision Tree 60% odds to go over
Under 8.5 Similar Games 58% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record STL MIA
Season 30-35-5 40-30-3
vs Division 10-9-1 13-9-2
vs Conference 14-24-2 24-23-2
Streak Un 2 Un 3
Last 5 2-2-1 1-4-0
Last 10 5-4-1 2-8-0
Home 17-17-2 18-21-0
Away 13-18-3 22-9-3

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

St. Louis Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/26 Home Tampa Bay 8.0 9-7 Over +8.0
03/28 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 6-5 Over +3.5
03/29 Home Tampa Bay 8.0 7-11 Over +10.0
03/30 Home NY Mets 9.0 2-4 Under -3.0
03/31 Home NY Mets 8.5 3-0 Under -5.5
04/01 Home NY Mets 7.5 2-1 Under -4.5
04/03 Away Detroit 8.0 0-4 Under -4.0
04/04 Away Detroit 7.5 6-11 Over +9.5
04/05 Away Detroit 8.0 5-3 Push 0.0
04/06 Away Washington 8.0 6-9 Over +7.0
04/07 Away Washington 7.5 7-6 Over +5.5
04/08 Away Washington 8.5 6-1 Under -1.5
04/10 Home Boston 7.5 3-2 Under -2.5
04/11 Home Boston 7.5 1-7 Over +0.5
04/12 Home Boston 9.0 3-9 Over +3.0
04/13 Home Cleveland 8.0 3-9 Over +4.0
04/14 Home Cleveland 9.0 6-5 Over +2.0
04/15 Home Cleveland 9.0 5-3 Under -1.0
04/17 Away Houston 9.0 9-4 Over +4.0
04/18 Away Houston 9.0 7-5 Over +3.0
04/19 Away Houston 8.5 7-5 Over +3.5
04/20 Away Miami 8.5 3-5 Under -0.5
04/21 Away Miami 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
04/22 Away Miami 8.0 1-4 Under -3.0
04/24 Home Seattle 8.0 2-3 Under -3.0
04/25 Home Seattle 7.5 9-11 Over +12.5
04/26 Home Seattle 8.5 2-3 Under -3.5
04/27 Away Pittsburgh 8.0 4-2 Under -2.0
04/28 Away Pittsburgh 8.5 11-7 Over +9.5
04/29 Away Pittsburgh 8.5 5-4 Over +0.5
04/30 Away Pittsburgh 7.0 10-5 Over +8.0
05/01 Home LA Dodgers 8.5 7-2 Over +0.5
05/02 Home LA Dodgers 9.0 3-2 Under -4.0
05/03 Home LA Dodgers 9.5 1-4 Under -4.5
05/04 Home Milwaukee 9.0 6-3 Push 0.0
05/06 Home Milwaukee 7.5 2-6 Over +0.5
05/07 Away San Diego 8.0 2-1 Under -5.0
05/08 Away San Diego 8.0 6-0 Under -2.0
05/09 Away San Diego 8.0 2-4 Under -2.0
05/10 Away San Diego 8.5 2-3 Under -3.5
05/12 Away Sacramento 10.0 6-4 Push 0.0
05/13 Away Sacramento 10.0 2-6 Under -2.0
05/14 Away Sacramento 9.5 5-4 Under -0.5
05/15 Home Kansas City 8.5 5-4 Over +0.5
05/16 Home Kansas City 9.0 4-2 Under -3.0
05/17 Home Kansas City 9.5 0-2 Under -7.5
05/19 Home Pittsburgh 8.0 9-6 Over +7.0
05/20 Home Pittsburgh 7.5 0-7 Under -0.5
05/21 Home Pittsburgh 7.0 2-6 Over +1.0
05/23 Away Cincinnati 9.5 8-1 Under -0.5
05/23 Away Cincinnati 10.0 6-7 Over +3.0
05/25 Away Milwaukee 7.5 1-5 Under -1.5
05/26 Away Milwaukee 8.0 0-6 Under -2.0
05/27 Away Milwaukee 8.0 1-2 Under -5.0
05/29 Home Chi Cubs 7.5 6-5 Over +3.5
05/30 Home Chi Cubs 8.0 1-6 Under -1.0
05/31 Home Chi Cubs 8.5 5-1 Under -2.5
06/01 Home Texas 7.5 1-2 Under -4.5
06/02 Home Texas 7.0 4-7 Over +4.0
06/03 Home Texas 8.0 5-3 Push 0.0
06/05 Home Cincinnati 9.0 10-3 Over +4.0
06/06 Home Cincinnati 9.0 6-5 Over +2.0
06/07 Home Cincinnati 9.5 5-3 Under -1.5
06/09 Away NY Mets 7.5 7-0 Under -0.5
06/10 Away NY Mets 8.5 9-2 Over +2.5
06/11 Away NY Mets 9.0 4-5 Push 0.0
06/12 Away Minnesota 9.0 8-9 Over +8.0
06/13 Away Minnesota 9.5 9-6 Over +5.5
06/14 Away Minnesota 9.5 4-5 Under -0.5
06/15 Home San Diego 8.5 3-0 Under -5.5

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/27 Home Colorado 8.0 2-1 Under -5.0
03/28 Home Colorado 7.5 4-3 Under -0.5
03/29 Home Colorado 8.0 4-3 Under -1.0
03/30 Home Chi Sox 8.0 4-9 Over +5.0
03/31 Home Chi Sox 8.0 9-2 Over +3.0
04/01 Home Chi Sox 7.5 10-0 Over +2.5
04/03 Away NY Yankees 8.0 2-8 Over +2.0
04/04 Away NY Yankees 7.5 7-9 Over +8.5
04/05 Away NY Yankees 8.5 7-6 Over +4.5
04/06 Home Cincinnati 8.0 0-2 Under -6.0
04/07 Home Cincinnati 7.0 3-6 Over +2.0
04/08 Home Cincinnati 8.0 7-4 Over +3.0
04/09 Home Cincinnati 8.0 8-1 Over +1.0
04/10 Away Detroit 8.5 0-2 Under -6.5
04/11 Away Detroit 7.0 1-6 Push 0.0
04/12 Away Detroit 6.0 2-8 Over +4.0
04/13 Away Atlanta 8.0 10-4 Over +6.0
04/14 Away Atlanta 8.5 5-6 Over +2.5
04/15 Away Atlanta 9.0 3-6 Push 0.0
04/17 Home Milwaukee 8.0 5-7 Over +4.0
04/18 Home Milwaukee 7.5 2-5 Under -0.5
04/19 Home Milwaukee 7.5 5-3 Over +0.5
04/20 Home St. Louis 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
04/21 Home St. Louis 8.5 3-5 Under -0.5
04/22 Home St. Louis 8.0 4-1 Under -3.0
04/24 Away SF Giants 7.5 9-4 Over +5.5
04/25 Away SF Giants 7.5 2-6 Over +0.5
04/26 Away SF Giants 7.5 3-6 Over +1.5
04/27 Away LA Dodgers 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
04/28 Away LA Dodgers 7.5 2-1 Under -4.5
04/29 Away LA Dodgers 8.5 3-2 Under -3.5
05/01 Home Philadelphia 7.5 5-6 Over +3.5
05/02 Home Philadelphia 8.5 4-0 Under -4.5
05/03 Home Philadelphia 8.0 2-7 Over +1.0
05/04 Home Philadelphia 8.5 0-1 Under -7.5
05/05 Home Baltimore 8.5 7-9 Over +7.5
05/06 Home Baltimore 8.5 4-7 Over +2.5
05/07 Home Baltimore 8.5 4-3 Under -1.5
05/08 Home Washington 8.5 2-3 Under -3.5
05/09 Home Washington 8.5 8-7 Over +6.5
05/10 Home Washington 8.5 5-2 Under -1.5
05/12 Away Minnesota 9.0 0-3 Under -6.0
05/13 Away Minnesota 8.5 9-5 Over +5.5
05/14 Away Minnesota 8.5 1-9 Over +1.5
05/15 Away Tampa Bay 8.0 2-7 Over +1.0
05/16 Away Tampa Bay 8.0 10-5 Over +7.0
05/17 Away Tampa Bay 7.5 3-6 Over +1.5
05/18 Home Atlanta 8.5 12-0 Over +3.5
05/19 Home Atlanta 8.0 4-8 Over +4.0
05/20 Home Atlanta 7.0 1-9 Over +3.0
05/21 Home Atlanta 7.5 3-9 Over +4.5
05/22 Home NY Mets 8.0 2-1 Under -5.0
05/23 Home NY Mets 7.5 4-1 Under -2.5
05/24 Home NY Mets 7.5 4-0 Under -3.5
05/25 Away Toronto 7.5 8-2 Over +2.5
05/26 Away Toronto 7.5 1-8 Over +1.5
05/27 Away Toronto 7.5 1-2 Under -4.5
05/29 Away NY Mets 7.5 7-9 Over +8.5
05/30 Away NY Mets 7.0 1-6 Push 0.0
05/31 Away NY Mets 7.5 1-10 Over +3.5
06/01 Away Washington 8.5 7-3 Over +1.5
06/02 Away Washington 9.0 7-3 Over +1.0
06/03 Away Washington 8.0 4-1 Under -3.0
06/05 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 0-6 Under -1.5
06/06 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 4-3 Under -0.5
06/07 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 4-1 Under -2.5
06/09 Home Arizona 8.0 10-6 Over +8.0
06/10 Home Arizona 8.5 8-0 Under -0.5
06/11 Home Arizona 8.5 2-0 Under -6.5
06/12 Away Pittsburgh 8.5 8-3 Over +2.5
06/13 Away Pittsburgh 9.5 2-3 Under -4.5
06/14 Away Pittsburgh 7.5 4-2 Under -1.5
06/15 Away Philadelphia 8.0 0-7 Under -1.0