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Houston at Miami: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Aug 4, 2025 6:40 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 1.5, Total Points: 8

Matchup Menu: HOU @ MIA

More Games From Aug 4, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Over 8.0 Official TR Pick 51% odds to go over
Over 8.0 Decision Tree 57% odds to go over
Over 8.0 Similar Games 51% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record HOU MIA
Season 72-82-8 80-79-3
vs Division 22-25-5 26-25-1
vs Conference 53-54-7 56-55-3
Streak Un 3 Un 4
Last 5 1-4-0 1-4-0
Last 10 3-7-0 4-6-0
Home 36-42-3 38-42-1
Away 36-40-5 42-37-2

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Houston Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/27 Home NY Mets 7.5 3-1 Under -3.5
03/28 Home NY Mets 8.0 1-3 Under -4.0
03/29 Home NY Mets 8.5 2-1 Under -5.5
03/31 Home SF Giants 8.0 2-7 Over +1.0
04/01 Home SF Giants 8.0 1-3 Under -4.0
04/02 Home SF Giants 7.5 3-6 Over +1.5
04/03 Away Minnesota 7.0 5-2 Push 0.0
04/05 Away Minnesota 7.5 1-6 Under -0.5
04/06 Away Minnesota 8.5 9-7 Over +7.5
04/07 Away Seattle 7.0 3-4 Push 0.0
04/08 Away Seattle 7.0 2-1 Under -4.0
04/09 Away Seattle 7.5 6-7 Over +5.5
04/11 Home LA Angels 8.5 14-3 Over +8.5
04/12 Home LA Angels 9.0 1-4 Under -4.0
04/13 Home LA Angels 8.5 7-3 Over +1.5
04/14 Away St. Louis 7.0 3-8 Over +4.0
04/15 Away St. Louis 7.5 2-0 Under -5.5
04/16 Away St. Louis 8.0 1-4 Under -3.0
04/18 Home San Diego 9.0 6-4 Over +1.0
04/19 Home San Diego 7.5 3-2 Under -2.5
04/20 Home San Diego 7.5 2-3 Under -2.5
04/21 Home Toronto 7.5 7-0 Under -0.5
04/22 Home Toronto 8.0 5-1 Under -2.0
04/23 Home Toronto 8.0 3-1 Under -4.0
04/25 Away Kansas City 8.0 0-2 Under -6.0
04/26 Away Kansas City 8.0 0-2 Under -6.0
04/27 Away Kansas City 7.5 7-3 Over +2.5
04/28 Home Detroit 7.5 8-5 Over +5.5
04/29 Home Detroit 8.0 6-4 Over +2.0
04/30 Home Detroit 8.0 4-7 Over +3.0
05/02 Away Chi Sox 8.0 3-7 Over +2.0
05/03 Away Chi Sox 7.5 8-3 Over +3.5
05/04 Away Chi Sox 8.0 4-5 Over +1.0
05/05 Away Milwaukee 8.5 1-5 Under -2.5
05/06 Away Milwaukee 8.0 3-4 Under -1.0
05/07 Away Milwaukee 7.5 9-1 Over +2.5
05/09 Home Cincinnati 7.5 3-0 Under -4.5
05/10 Home Cincinnati 8.0 9-13 Over +14.0
05/11 Home Cincinnati 8.5 6-0 Under -2.5
05/12 Home Kansas City 8.0 5-7 Over +4.0
05/13 Home Kansas City 7.5 2-1 Under -4.5
05/14 Home Kansas City 8.5 4-3 Under -1.5
05/15 Away Texas 7.0 0-1 Under -6.0
05/16 Away Texas 8.0 6-3 Over +1.0
05/17 Away Texas 8.0 1-5 Under -2.0
05/18 Away Texas 8.0 4-3 Under -1.0
05/19 Away Tampa Bay 9.0 4-3 Under -2.0
05/20 Away Tampa Bay 9.0 2-3 Under -4.0
05/21 Away Tampa Bay 8.5 4-8 Over +3.5
05/22 Home Seattle 8.0 9-2 Over +3.0
05/23 Home Seattle 8.5 3-5 Under -0.5
05/24 Home Seattle 7.0 2-1 Under -4.0
05/25 Home Seattle 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
05/27 Home Sacramento 8.0 11-1 Over +4.0
05/28 Home Sacramento 8.0 5-3 Push 0.0
05/29 Home Tampa Bay 8.0 3-13 Over +8.0
05/30 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 2-1 Under -4.5
05/31 Home Tampa Bay 8.5 3-16 Over +10.5
06/01 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 1-0 Under -6.5
06/03 Away Pittsburgh 7.0 3-0 Under -4.0
06/04 Away Pittsburgh 9.0 0-3 Under -6.0
06/05 Away Pittsburgh 7.5 8-2 Over +2.5
06/06 Away Cleveland 8.0 4-2 Under -2.0
06/07 Away Cleveland 7.0 5-3 Over +1.0
06/08 Away Cleveland 7.5 2-4 Under -1.5
06/10 Home Chi Sox 7.5 2-4 Under -1.5
06/11 Home Chi Sox 8.0 10-2 Over +4.0
06/12 Home Chi Sox 7.5 4-3 Under -0.5
06/13 Home Minnesota 8.0 10-3 Over +5.0
06/14 Home Minnesota 7.0 3-2 Under -2.0
06/15 Home Minnesota 8.0 2-1 Under -5.0
06/16 Away Sacramento 9.5 1-3 Under -5.5
06/17 Away Sacramento 11.0 13-3 Over +5.0
06/18 Away Sacramento 9.5 11-4 Over +5.5
06/19 Away Sacramento 10.0 4-6 Push 0.0
06/20 Away LA Angels 8.0 3-2 Under -3.0
06/21 Away LA Angels 8.0 1-9 Over +2.0
06/22 Away LA Angels 8.5 8-7 Over +6.5
06/24 Home Philadelphia 7.5 1-0 Under -6.5
06/25 Home Philadelphia 7.0 2-0 Under -5.0
06/26 Home Philadelphia 7.0 2-1 Under -4.0
06/27 Home Chi Cubs 8.0 7-4 Over +3.0
06/28 Home Chi Cubs 8.5 3-12 Over +6.5
06/29 Home Chi Cubs 7.5 2-0 Under -5.5
07/01 Away Colorado 11.5 6-5 Under -0.5
07/02 Away Colorado 11.0 5-3 Under -3.0
07/03 Away Colorado 11.0 6-7 Over +2.0
07/04 Away LA Dodgers 9.0 18-1 Over +10.0
07/05 Away LA Dodgers 8.5 6-4 Over +1.5
07/06 Away LA Dodgers 9.0 5-1 Under -3.0
07/07 Home Cleveland 7.5 5-7 Over +4.5
07/08 Home Cleveland 7.0 6-10 Over +9.0
07/09 Home Cleveland 7.5 2-4 Under -1.5
07/11 Home Texas 8.0 3-7 Over +2.0
07/12 Home Texas 6.0 5-4 Over +3.0
07/13 Home Texas 7.0 1-5 Under -1.0
07/18 Away Seattle 7.0 1-6 Push 0.0
07/19 Away Seattle 8.0 6-7 Over +5.0
07/20 Away Seattle 6.5 11-3 Over +7.5
07/21 Away Arizona 9.0 6-3 Push 0.0
07/22 Away Arizona 8.5 3-1 Under -4.5
07/23 Away Arizona 8.5 4-3 Under -1.5
07/24 Home Sacramento 9.0 2-5 Under -2.0
07/25 Home Sacramento 9.0 3-15 Over +9.0
07/26 Home Sacramento 7.5 1-5 Under -1.5
07/27 Home Sacramento 8.0 1-7 Push 0.0
07/28 Home Washington 7.0 1-2 Under -4.0
07/29 Home Washington 8.5 7-4 Over +2.5
07/30 Home Washington 8.0 9-1 Over +2.0
08/01 Away Boston 8.0 1-2 Under -5.0
08/02 Away Boston 9.5 3-7 Over +0.5
08/03 Away Boston 8.0 1-6 Under -1.0
08/04 Away Miami 8.0 8-2 Over +2.0
08/05 Away Miami 8.5 7-3 Over +1.5
08/06 Away Miami 8.0 4-6 Over +2.0
08/08 Away NY Yankees 7.5 5-3 Over +0.5
08/09 Away NY Yankees 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
08/10 Away NY Yankees 9.0 7-1 Under -1.0
08/11 Home Boston 7.5 7-6 Over +5.5
08/12 Home Boston 8.5 1-14 Over +6.5
08/13 Home Boston 8.0 4-1 Under -3.0
08/15 Home Baltimore 7.5 0-7 Under -0.5
08/16 Home Baltimore 8.5 5-4 Over +0.5
08/17 Home Baltimore 8.5 0-12 Over +3.5
08/18 Away Detroit 8.0 0-10 Over +2.0
08/19 Away Detroit 7.0 0-1 Under -6.0
08/20 Away Detroit 8.5 2-7 Over +0.5
08/21 Away Baltimore 8.5 7-2 Over +0.5
08/22 Away Baltimore 9.0 10-7 Over +8.0
08/23 Away Baltimore 9.0 9-8 Over +8.0
08/24 Away Baltimore 9.0 2-3 Under -4.0
08/26 Home Colorado 8.0 1-6 Under -1.0
08/27 Home Colorado 8.0 4-0 Under -4.0
08/28 Home Colorado 8.5 4-3 Under -1.5
08/29 Home LA Angels 9.0 2-0 Under -7.0
08/30 Home LA Angels 9.0 1-4 Under -4.0
08/31 Home LA Angels 7.5 0-3 Under -4.5
09/01 Home LA Angels 8.5 8-3 Over +2.5
09/02 Home NY Yankees 8.0 1-7 Push 0.0
09/03 Home NY Yankees 9.0 8-7 Over +6.0
09/04 Home NY Yankees 9.0 4-8 Over +3.0
09/05 Away Texas 8.0 3-4 Under -1.0
09/06 Away Texas 7.0 11-0 Over +4.0
09/07 Away Texas 8.5 2-4 Under -2.5
09/09 Away Toronto 8.0 3-4 Under -1.0
09/10 Away Toronto 8.5 3-2 Under -3.5
09/11 Away Toronto 8.5 0-6 Under -2.5
09/12 Away Atlanta 9.0 11-3 Over +5.0
09/13 Away Atlanta 8.5 6-2 Under -0.5
09/14 Away Atlanta 8.5 3-8 Over +2.5
09/15 Home Texas 8.0 6-3 Over +1.0
09/16 Home Texas 7.5 6-5 Over +3.5
09/17 Home Texas 7.5 5-2 Under -0.5
09/19 Home Seattle 7.5 0-4 Under -3.5
09/20 Home Seattle 7.5 4-6 Over +2.5
09/21 Home Seattle 8.5 3-7 Over +1.5
09/23 Away Sacramento 10.0 1-5 Under -4.0
09/24 Away Sacramento 9.0 0-6 Under -3.0
09/25 Away Sacramento 9.5 11-5 Over +6.5
09/26 Away LA Angels 9.0 3-4 Under -2.0
09/27 Away LA Angels 9.0 6-1 Under -2.0
09/28 Away LA Angels 9.0 6-2 Under -1.0

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/27 Home Pittsburgh 6.5 5-4 Over +2.5
03/28 Home Pittsburgh 8.0 3-4 Under -1.0
03/29 Home Pittsburgh 8.5 5-4 Over +0.5
03/30 Home Pittsburgh 7.5 3-2 Under -2.5
03/31 Home NY Mets 8.5 4-10 Over +5.5
04/01 Home NY Mets 7.5 4-2 Under -1.5
04/02 Home NY Mets 8.5 5-6 Over +2.5
04/04 Away Atlanta 7.5 0-10 Over +2.5
04/05 Away Atlanta 8.5 4-0 Under -4.5
04/07 Away NY Mets 7.0 0-2 Under -5.0
04/08 Away NY Mets 7.0 5-10 Over +8.0
04/09 Away NY Mets 7.0 5-0 Under -2.0
04/11 Home Washington 8.0 4-7 Over +3.0
04/12 Home Washington 7.5 7-6 Over +5.5
04/13 Home Washington 8.0 11-4 Over +7.0
04/15 Home Arizona 9.0 4-10 Over +5.0
04/16 Home Arizona 8.5 2-6 Under -0.5
04/17 Home Arizona 8.5 4-6 Over +1.5
04/18 Away Philadelphia 8.0 2-7 Over +1.0
04/19 Away Philadelphia 10.5 10-11 Over +10.5
04/20 Away Philadelphia 8.0 7-5 Over +4.0
04/21 Home Cincinnati 8.0 6-3 Over +1.0
04/22 Home Cincinnati 8.5 4-3 Under -1.5
04/23 Home Cincinnati 8.0 2-5 Under -1.0
04/25 Away Seattle 7.5 8-4 Over +4.5
04/26 Away Seattle 7.5 0-14 Over +6.5
04/27 Away Seattle 7.5 6-7 Over +5.5
04/28 Away LA Dodgers 9.0 6-7 Over +4.0
04/29 Away LA Dodgers 8.5 2-15 Over +8.5
04/30 Away LA Dodgers 10.0 7-12 Over +9.0
05/02 Home Sacramento 9.5 1-6 Under -2.5
05/03 Home Sacramento 9.0 9-6 Over +6.0
05/04 Home Sacramento 9.0 2-3 Under -4.0
05/05 Home LA Dodgers 9.5 4-7 Over +1.5
05/06 Home LA Dodgers 10.0 5-4 Under -1.0
05/07 Home LA Dodgers 10.0 1-10 Over +1.0
05/09 Away Chi Sox 7.5 2-6 Over +0.5
05/10 Away Chi Sox 8.0 3-1 Under -4.0
05/11 Away Chi Sox 8.0 2-4 Under -2.0
05/12 Away Chi Cubs 8.5 2-5 Under -1.5
05/13 Away Chi Cubs 8.0 4-5 Over +1.0
05/14 Away Chi Cubs 7.5 3-1 Under -3.5
05/16 Home Tampa Bay 8.5 9-4 Over +4.5
05/17 Home Tampa Bay 8.0 0-4 Under -4.0
05/18 Home Tampa Bay 9.0 5-1 Under -3.0
05/19 Home Chi Cubs 8.5 8-7 Over +6.5
05/20 Home Chi Cubs 8.5 1-14 Over +6.5
05/21 Home Chi Cubs 9.0 1-2 Under -6.0
05/23 Away LA Angels 8.5 4-7 Over +2.5
05/24 Away LA Angels 8.5 6-2 Under -0.5
05/25 Away LA Angels 9.0 3-0 Under -6.0
05/26 Away San Diego 7.5 3-4 Under -0.5
05/27 Away San Diego 8.0 6-8 Over +6.0
05/28 Away San Diego 8.5 10-8 Over +9.5
05/30 Home SF Giants 8.5 0-2 Under -6.5
05/31 Home SF Giants 8.0 1-0 Under -7.0
06/01 Home SF Giants 8.0 2-4 Under -2.0
06/02 Home Colorado 8.0 4-6 Over +2.0
06/03 Home Colorado 8.5 2-3 Under -3.5
06/04 Home Colorado 8.5 2-3 Under -3.5
06/06 Away Tampa Bay 9.0 3-4 Under -2.0
06/07 Away Tampa Bay 8.5 11-10 Over +12.5
06/08 Away Tampa Bay 8.5 2-3 Under -3.5
06/09 Away Pittsburgh 8.0 3-10 Over +5.0
06/10 Away Pittsburgh 8.0 3-2 Under -3.0
06/11 Away Pittsburgh 8.5 2-5 Under -1.5
06/13 Away Washington 9.0 11-9 Over +11.0
06/14 Away Washington 9.0 4-3 Under -2.0
06/15 Away Washington 7.5 3-1 Under -3.5
06/16 Home Philadelphia 8.5 2-5 Under -1.5
06/17 Home Philadelphia 8.5 8-3 Over +2.5
06/18 Home Philadelphia 8.5 2-4 Under -2.5
06/19 Home Philadelphia 7.5 1-2 Under -4.5
06/20 Home Atlanta 9.0 6-2 Under -1.0
06/21 Home Atlanta 8.5 0-7 Under -1.5
06/22 Home Atlanta 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
06/24 Away SF Giants 8.0 4-2 Under -2.0
06/25 Away SF Giants 6.5 8-5 Over +6.5
06/26 Away SF Giants 7.5 12-5 Over +9.5
06/27 Away Arizona 8.5 9-8 Over +8.5
06/28 Away Arizona 9.0 8-7 Over +6.0
06/29 Away Arizona 9.0 6-4 Over +1.0
07/01 Home Minnesota 7.5 2-0 Under -5.5
07/02 Home Minnesota 8.5 1-2 Under -5.5
07/03 Home Minnesota 8.0 4-1 Under -3.0
07/04 Home Milwaukee 7.5 5-6 Over +3.5
07/05 Home Milwaukee 8.5 4-2 Under -2.5
07/06 Home Milwaukee 7.5 1-3 Under -3.5
07/07 Away Cincinnati 9.0 5-1 Under -3.0
07/08 Away Cincinnati 9.0 12-2 Over +5.0
07/09 Away Cincinnati 9.0 2-7 Push 0.0
07/10 Away Cincinnati 9.0 0-6 Under -3.0
07/11 Away Baltimore 9.0 2-5 Under -2.0
07/12 Away Baltimore 9.0 6-0 Under -3.0
07/13 Away Baltimore 9.0 11-1 Over +3.0
07/18 Home Kansas City 7.5 8-7 Over +7.5
07/19 Home Kansas City 8.0 3-1 Under -4.0
07/20 Home Kansas City 7.5 4-7 Over +3.5
07/21 Home San Diego 8.0 1-2 Under -5.0
07/22 Home San Diego 7.5 4-3 Under -0.5
07/23 Home San Diego 7.5 3-2 Under -2.5
07/25 Away Milwaukee 8.0 5-1 Under -2.0
07/26 Away Milwaukee 8.5 7-4 Over +2.5
07/27 Away Milwaukee 7.5 2-3 Under -2.5
07/28 Away St. Louis 8.0 1-7 Push 0.0
07/29 Away St. Louis 7.5 5-0 Under -2.5
07/30 Away St. Louis 8.5 2-0 Under -6.5
08/01 Home NY Yankees 7.5 13-12 Over +17.5
08/02 Home NY Yankees 7.5 2-0 Under -5.5
08/03 Home NY Yankees 7.5 7-3 Over +2.5
08/04 Home Houston 8.0 2-8 Over +2.0
08/05 Home Houston 8.5 3-7 Over +1.5
08/06 Home Houston 8.0 6-4 Over +2.0
08/07 Away Atlanta 8.0 6-8 Over +6.0
08/08 Away Atlanta 8.0 5-1 Under -2.0
08/09 Away Atlanta 8.5 1-7 Under -0.5
08/09 Away Atlanta 8.5 6-8 Over +5.5
08/10 Away Atlanta 8.5 1-7 Under -0.5
08/12 Away Cleveland 9.0 3-4 Under -2.0
08/13 Away Cleveland 7.5 13-4 Over +9.5
08/14 Away Cleveland 7.5 4-9 Over +5.5
08/15 Away Boston 8.5 1-2 Under -5.5
08/16 Away Boston 9.0 5-7 Over +3.0
08/17 Away Boston 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
08/18 Home St. Louis 7.5 3-8 Over +3.5
08/19 Home St. Louis 8.0 4-7 Over +3.0
08/20 Home St. Louis 8.5 6-2 Under -0.5
08/22 Home Toronto 8.0 2-5 Under -1.0
08/23 Home Toronto 8.5 6-7 Over +4.5
08/24 Home Toronto 7.5 5-3 Over +0.5
08/25 Home Atlanta 8.0 2-1 Under -5.0
08/26 Home Atlanta 8.0 2-11 Over +5.0
08/27 Home Atlanta 8.5 1-12 Over +4.5
08/28 Away NY Mets 9.0 7-4 Over +2.0
08/29 Away NY Mets 7.5 9-19 Over +20.5
08/30 Away NY Mets 7.5 11-8 Over +11.5
08/31 Away NY Mets 8.5 5-1 Under -2.5
09/01 Away Washington 9.0 0-2 Under -7.0
09/02 Away Washington 9.0 2-5 Under -2.0
09/03 Away Washington 9.0 5-10 Over +6.0
09/05 Home Philadelphia 8.0 3-9 Over +4.0
09/06 Home Philadelphia 8.0 2-4 Under -2.0
09/07 Home Philadelphia 9.0 5-4 Push 0.0
09/08 Home Washington 8.5 7-15 Over +13.5
09/09 Home Washington 9.0 5-7 Over +3.0
09/10 Home Washington 8.5 8-3 Over +2.5
09/11 Home Washington 7.5 5-0 Under -2.5
09/12 Home Detroit 7.0 8-2 Over +3.0
09/13 Home Detroit 8.5 6-4 Over +1.5
09/14 Home Detroit 9.0 0-2 Under -7.0
09/16 Away Colorado 10.0 6-5 Over +1.0
09/17 Away Colorado 10.0 8-4 Over +2.0
09/18 Away Colorado 10.0 9-7 Over +6.0
09/19 Away Texas 8.0 6-4 Over +2.0
09/20 Away Texas 8.5 4-3 Under -1.5
09/21 Away Texas 7.5 4-2 Under -1.5
09/23 Away Philadelphia 7.5 6-5 Over +3.5
09/24 Away Philadelphia 7.5 1-11 Over +4.5
09/25 Away Philadelphia 9.0 0-1 Under -8.0
09/26 Home NY Mets 8.5 6-2 Under -0.5
09/27 Home NY Mets 8.0 0-5 Under -3.0
09/28 Home NY Mets 8.0 4-0 Under -4.0