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North Carolina Tar Heels Projections

Preseason ratings and team projections are not finished yet. We expect to publish them on Sunday, August 30th.


  • Atlantic Coast Conference teams:
  • All teams:

Final Record

6.3 - 5.7

Bowl Eligible

60.6%

Undefeated

1.6%


Record Forecast
Scenario overall W overall L Bowl Eligible Win Conf Undefeated
Miracle (90th %ile) 10 2 Y N N
Good Luck (70th %ile) 8 4 Y N N
Most Likely (50th %ile) 6 6 Y N N
Bad Luck (30th %ile) 5 7 N N N
Melt Down (10th %ile) 3 9 N N N

Postseason Odds
Bowl Eligible Win Div Win Conf Undefeated 1-Week Change
60.6% 14.3% 7.1% 1.6% 0.0%

* Undef shows odds to go undefeated in currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference championship or bowl games.

ACC CURRENT PROJECTION
Atlantic overall W L T conf W L T overall W L T Win Conf
Louisville 0 0 0 4.0 4.0 0.0 6.1 5.9 0.0 7.6%
Florida St 0 0 0 4.0 4.0 0.0 6.2 5.8 0.0 7.1%
Wake Forest 0 0 0 4.0 4.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 6.8%
NC State 0 0 0 4.0 4.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 7.3%
Clemson 0 0 0 4.0 4.0 0.0 6.2 5.8 0.0 7.6%
Boston Col 0 0 0 4.0 4.0 0.0 6.3 5.7 0.0 7.4%
Syracuse 0 0 0 4.0 4.0 0.0 6.2 5.8 0.0 6.9%
Coastal overall W L T conf W L T overall W L T Win Conf
Virginia 0 0 0 4.0 4.0 0.0 6.2 5.8 0.0 7.2%
Duke 0 0 0 4.0 4.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 7.0%
N Carolina 0 0 0 4.0 4.0 0.0 6.3 5.7 0.0 7.1%
VA Tech 0 0 0 4.0 4.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 6.8%
Miami (FL) 0 0 0 4.0 4.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 7.4%
GA Tech 0 0 0 4.0 4.0 0.0 6.2 5.8 0.0 6.5%
Pittsburgh 0 0 0 4.0 4.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 7.3%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
11/28 NC State Away 39.4%
11/21 VA Tech Away 39.4%
10/29 Pittsburgh Away 39.4%
10/3 GA Tech Away 39.4%
9/3 S Carolina Neutral 50.0%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
9/12 North Carolina A&T Home 99.5%
9/26 Delaware Home 99.5%
10/24 Virginia Home 60.6%
9/19 Illinois Home 60.6%
11/14 Miami (FL) Home 60.6%