NC State at Duke: Recap
Saturday Sep 20, 2025 4:00 pm -
Durham, NC
Odds:
Duke by 3,
Total Points:
56.5
Matchup Menu: NCST @ DUKE
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | NCST | 40.9% | ||
| DUKE | 59.1% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE -3.0 | NCST | 49.3% | ||
| DUKE | 50.7% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 56.5 | Over | 44.8% | ||
| Under | 55.2% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | NCST | -0.5% | ||
| DUKE | -2.7% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST | 25.7 | 27 | 26.8 | 33 |
| DUKE | 28.8 | 30 | 29.8 | 45 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | NCST | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.2 | 6.0 |
| Points/Play | 0.371 | 0.403 |
| Rush Play % | 51.51% | 63.59% |
| Pass Play % | 48.50% | 36.41% |
| Completion % | 64.75% | 56.76% |
| 3D Conv % | 49.21% | 36.84% |
| RZ Scoring % | 82.35% | 78.57% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | NCST | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.8 | 4.6 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.518 | 0.196 |
| Opp Completion % | 66.67% | 59.80% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 34.69% | 27.03% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 76.92% | 80.00% |