Troy at Missouri: Recap
Saturday Sep 19, 2026 7:00 pm -
Columbia, MO
Odds:
Missouri by 26.5,
Total Points:
49.5
Matchup Menu: TROY @ MIZZ
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri | TROY | 4.1% | ||
| MIZZ | 95.9% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY +27.5 | TROY | 53.2% | ||
| MIZZ | 46.8% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 | Over | 51.6% | ||
| Under | 48.4% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | TROY | -1.4% | ||
| MIZZ | -2.1% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | 12.0 | 13 | 11.0 | 17 |
| MIZZ | 38.5 | 38 | 38.5 | 27 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TROY | MIZZ |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.6 | 6.3 |
| Points/Play | 0.345 | 0.504 |
| Rush Play % | 56.03% | 53.01% |
| Pass Play % | 43.97% | 46.99% |
| Completion % | 57.94% | 63.33% |
| 3D Conv % | 42.37% | 41.07% |
| RZ Scoring % | 92.86% | 73.68% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TROY | MIZZ |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.1 | 4.7 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.409 | 0.292 |
| Opp Completion % | 63.16% | 60.71% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 31.82% | 35.48% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 62.50% | 88.89% |