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Saturday Oct 11, 2025 8:00 pm -
San Marcos, TX
Odds:
Texas State by 7.5,
Total Points:
53.5
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas St | TROY | 23.6% | ||
| TXST | 76.4% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST -7.5 | TROY | 46.5% | ||
| TXST | 53.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 53.5 | Over | 47.7% | ||
| Under | 52.3% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST -300 | TROY | -5.4% | ||
| TXST | +1.4% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | 21.3 | 21 | 23.0 | 48 |
| TXST | 30.9 | 31 | 30.5 | 41 |
| Stat | TROY | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.5 | 6.6 |
| Points/Play | 0.369 | 0.469 |
| Rush Play % | 50.99% | 56.51% |
| Pass Play % | 49.01% | 43.49% |
| Completion % | 59.00% | 68.35% |
| 3D Conv % | 39.67% | 43.86% |
| RZ Scoring % | 84.62% | 89.47% |
| Stat | TROY | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 6.0 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.358 | 0.526 |
| Opp Completion % | 64.11% | 66.15% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 42.86% | 43.75% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 81.48% | 88.64% |
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