Missouri at Mississippi St: Recap
Saturday Sep 26, 2026 7:45 pm -
Starkville, MS
Odds:
Mississippi State by 3.5,
Total Points:
58.5
Matchup Menu: MIZZ @ MSST
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi St | MIZZ | 39.6% | ||
| MSST | 60.4% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIZZ +3.5 | MIZZ | 51.7% | ||
| MSST | 48.3% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 58.5 | Over | 51.6% | ||
| Under | 48.4% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | MIZZ | -0.9% | ||
| MSST | -3.5% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIZZ | 27.9 | 28 | 27.5 | 24 |
| MSST | 31.1 | 31 | 31.0 | 31 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MIZZ | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.3 | 6.6 |
| Points/Play | 0.504 | 0.528 |
| Rush Play % | 53.01% | 50.68% |
| Pass Play % | 46.99% | 49.32% |
| Completion % | 63.33% | 65.68% |
| 3D Conv % | 41.07% | 47.62% |
| RZ Scoring % | 73.68% | 90.48% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MIZZ | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.7 | 5.3 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.292 | 0.390 |
| Opp Completion % | 60.71% | 62.78% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 35.48% | 36.11% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 88.89% | 88.24% |