Michigan St at Notre Dame: Recap
Saturday Sep 19, 2026 7:30 pm -
South Bend, IN
Odds:
Notre Dame by 28.5,
Total Points:
51.5
Matchup Menu: MSU @ ND
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | MSU | 1.8% | ||
| ND | 98.2% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ND -28.5 | MSU | 43.6% | ||
| ND | 56.4% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 51.5 | Over | 48.2% | ||
| Under | 51.8% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | MSU | -3.1% | ||
| ND | -0.2% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | 10.0 | 10 | 11.5 | 10 |
| ND | 41.0 | 41 | 40.0 | 27 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MSU | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.3 | 6.6 |
| Points/Play | 0.256 | 0.630 |
| Rush Play % | 55.77% | 56.27% |
| Pass Play % | 44.23% | 43.73% |
| Completion % | 62.86% | 70.21% |
| 3D Conv % | 40.00% | 40.38% |
| RZ Scoring % | 86.67% | 91.67% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MSU | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.5 | 3.8 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.391 | 0.207 |
| Opp Completion % | 59.32% | 62.40% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 40.32% | 37.50% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 93.33% | 80.00% |