Florida St at Louisville: Recap
Friday Oct 9, 2026 7:00 pm -
Louisville, KY
Odds:
Louisville by 4,
Total Points:
60.5
Matchup Menu: FSU @ LOU
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | FSU | 39.1% | ||
| LOU | 60.9% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU +4.0 | FSU | 52.7% | ||
| LOU | 47.3% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 60.5 | Over | 47.5% | ||
| Under | 52.5% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU +156 | FSU | 0.0% | ||
| LOU | -4.5% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | 27.8 | 28 | 28.2 | 20 |
| LOU | 31.2 | 31 | 32.2 | 44 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | FSU | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.7 | 7.2 |
| Points/Play | 0.428 | 0.546 |
| Rush Play % | 57.46% | 55.83% |
| Pass Play % | 42.54% | 44.17% |
| Completion % | 58.09% | 68.42% |
| 3D Conv % | 42.47% | 42.37% |
| RZ Scoring % | 95.00% | 73.33% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | FSU | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.4 | 5.7 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.422 | 0.391 |
| Opp Completion % | 64.10% | 60.59% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 43.28% | 39.19% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 75.00% | 78.95% |