Toledo at Kentucky: Recap
Saturday Aug 30, 2025 12:45 pm -
Lexington, KY
Odds:
Kentucky by 10,
Total Points:
49
Matchup Menu: TOL @ UK
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | TOL | 24.4% | ||
| UK | 75.6% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL +10.0 | TOL | 52.7% | ||
| UK | 47.3% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.0 | Over | 51.2% | ||
| Under | 48.8% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | TOL | -1.9% | ||
| UK | -2.2% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 20.3 | 20 | 19.5 | 16 |
| UK | 29.1 | 30 | 29.5 | 24 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TOL | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.4 | 5.8 |
| Points/Play | 0.466 | 0.474 |
| Rush Play % | 50.45% | 52.03% |
| Pass Play % | 49.55% | 47.97% |
| Completion % | 64.02% | 66.67% |
| 3D Conv % | 41.18% | 25.42% |
| RZ Scoring % | 93.75% | 79.17% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TOL | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.374 | 0.411 |
| Opp Completion % | 61.49% | 59.36% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 38.75% | 45.83% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 88.89% | 91.30% |