Toledo at Mississippi St: Recap
Saturday Sep 14, 2024 7:30 pm -
Starkville, MS
Odds:
Mississippi State by 10.5,
Total Points:
57
Matchup Menu: TOL @ MSST
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi St | TOL | 23.5% | ||
| MSST | 76.5% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL +10.5 | TOL | 53.3% | ||
| MSST | 46.7% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 57.0 | Over | 50.7% | ||
| Under | 49.3% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | TOL | -1.2% | ||
| MSST | -3.9% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 23.9 | 24 | 23.2 | 41 |
| MSST | 33.5 | 34 | 33.8 | 17 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TOL | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.7 | 6.6 |
| Points/Play | 0.542 | 0.528 |
| Rush Play % | 52.36% | 50.68% |
| Pass Play % | 47.64% | 49.32% |
| Completion % | 64.34% | 65.68% |
| 3D Conv % | 46.30% | 47.62% |
| RZ Scoring % | 93.33% | 90.48% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TOL | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.3 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.400 | 0.390 |
| Opp Completion % | 65.38% | 62.78% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 38.98% | 36.11% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 92.31% | 88.24% |