Arkansas St at TCU: Recap
Saturday Sep 19, 2026 8:00 pm -
Fort Worth, TX
Odds:
TCU by 19,
Total Points:
56.5
Matchup Menu: ARST @ TCU
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | ARST | 9.8% | ||
| TCU | 90.2% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU -18.5 | ARST | 47.9% | ||
| TCU | 52.1% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 56.5 | Over | 50.6% | ||
| Under | 49.4% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | ARST | -1.2% | ||
| TCU | -2.8% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | 18.6 | 17 | 19.0 | 7 |
| TCU | 38.3 | 38 | 37.5 | 31 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | ARST | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.7 | 4.9 |
| Points/Play | 0.289 | 0.234 |
| Rush Play % | 48.09% | 49.45% |
| Pass Play % | 51.91% | 50.55% |
| Completion % | 65.52% | 66.67% |
| 3D Conv % | 42.55% | 42.37% |
| RZ Scoring % | 81.82% | 76.92% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | ARST | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.8 | 4.6 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.426 | 0.256 |
| Opp Completion % | 76.40% | 59.38% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 52.17% | 37.25% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 93.33% | 75.00% |