Penn St at Northwestern: Recap
Friday Oct 2, 2026 8:00 pm -
Evanston, IL
Odds:
Penn State by 3,
Total Points:
46.5
Matchup Menu: PSU @ NW
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penn St | PSU | 53.4% | ||
| NW | 46.6% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NW +2.5 | PSU | 48.6% | ||
| NW | 51.4% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 46.5 | Over | 53.0% | ||
| Under | 47.0% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NW +116 | PSU | -4.6% | ||
| NW | +0.3% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU | 24.6 | 24 | 24.5 | 13 |
| NW | 22.7 | 21 | 22.0 | 34 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | PSU | NW |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.0 | 6.1 |
| Points/Play | 0.479 | 0.478 |
| Rush Play % | 53.29% | 64.88% |
| Pass Play % | 46.71% | 35.12% |
| Completion % | 62.67% | 74.24% |
| 3D Conv % | 40.00% | 38.89% |
| RZ Scoring % | 81.82% | 92.86% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | PSU | NW |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.7 | 5.6 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.255 | 0.247 |
| Opp Completion % | 55.12% | 64.65% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 22.73% | 43.90% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 92.31% | 75.00% |