SMU at Louisville: Recap
Saturday Sep 19, 2026 3:30 pm -
Louisville, KY
Odds:
Louisville by 3,
Total Points:
57.5
Matchup Menu: SMU @ LOU
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | SMU | 43.1% | ||
| LOU | 56.9% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU +3.0 | SMU | 51.8% | ||
| LOU | 48.2% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 57.5 | Over | 47.5% | ||
| Under | 52.5% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | SMU | -2.1% | ||
| LOU | -2.0% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 26.7 | 27 | 27.2 | 31 |
| LOU | 29.4 | 30 | 30.2 | 41 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | SMU | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.3 | 6.7 |
| Points/Play | 0.399 | 0.502 |
| Rush Play % | 50.51% | 52.06% |
| Pass Play % | 49.49% | 47.94% |
| Completion % | 73.57% | 67.80% |
| 3D Conv % | 51.85% | 42.00% |
| RZ Scoring % | 76.47% | 72.73% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | SMU | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.9 | 6.0 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.389 | 0.429 |
| Opp Completion % | 60.71% | 62.12% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 28.07% | 38.60% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 87.50% | 81.25% |