App State at Southern Miss: Recap
Saturday Sep 13, 2025 7:00 pm -
Hattiesburg, MS
Odds:
Appalachian State by 3,
Total Points:
55.5
Matchup Menu: APP @ USM
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| App State | APP | 61.6% | ||
| USM | 38.4% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APP -3.0 | APP | 53.5% | ||
| USM | 46.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 56.0 | Over | 50.2% | ||
| Under | 49.8% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APP -155 | APP | +0.9% | ||
| USM | -4.2% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APP | 29.8 | 30 | 29.5 | 22 |
| USM | 26.3 | 27 | 26.5 | 38 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | APP | USM |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.5 |
| Points/Play | 0.323 | 0.300 |
| Rush Play % | 47.21% | 40.79% |
| Pass Play % | 52.79% | 59.21% |
| Completion % | 59.85% | 62.09% |
| 3D Conv % | 31.03% | 30.00% |
| RZ Scoring % | 92.31% | 61.54% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | APP | USM |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.8 | 6.7 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.321 | 0.528 |
| Opp Completion % | 61.60% | 65.14% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 34.43% | 47.46% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 86.67% | 84.21% |