Miami at Florida St: Recap
Saturday Oct 4, 2025 7:30 pm -
Tallahassee, FL
Odds:
Miami (FL) by 3.5,
Total Points:
54
Matchup Menu: MIA @ FSU
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | MIA | 59.4% | ||
| FSU | 40.6% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU +3.5 | MIA | 47.2% | ||
| FSU | 52.8% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 53.5 | Over | 50.5% | ||
| Under | 49.5% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | MIA | -2.9% | ||
| FSU | -0.2% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 28.4 | 27 | 28.5 | 28 |
| FSU | 25.3 | 24 | 25.0 | 22 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MIA | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 7.1 | 5.7 |
| Points/Play | 0.633 | 0.428 |
| Rush Play % | 50.00% | 57.46% |
| Pass Play % | 50.00% | 42.54% |
| Completion % | 80.77% | 58.09% |
| 3D Conv % | 52.27% | 42.47% |
| RZ Scoring % | 100.00% | 95.00% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MIA | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.3 | 6.4 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.157 | 0.422 |
| Opp Completion % | 63.92% | 64.10% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 38.98% | 43.28% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 75.00% | 75.00% |