Sacramento State at Fresno St: Recap
Saturday Sep 12, 2026 10:30 pm -
Fresno, CA
Odds:
Fresno State by 17.5,
Total Points:
43.5
Matchup Menu: CSUS @ FRES
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno St | CSUS | 10.9% | ||
| FRES | 89.1% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES -17.5 | CSUS | 48.0% | ||
| FRES | 52.0% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 43.5 | Over | 52.2% | ||
| Under | 47.8% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | CSUS | -2.3% | ||
| FRES | -2.1% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSUS | 13.0 | 13 | 13.0 | 3 |
| FRES | 31.2 | 31 | 30.5 | 49 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | CSUS | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.3 | 5.8 |
| Points/Play | 0.129 | 0.437 |
| Rush Play % | 39.93% | 53.46% |
| Pass Play % | 60.07% | 46.54% |
| Completion % | 55.63% | 66.67% |
| 3D Conv % | 33.33% | 35.38% |
| RZ Scoring % | 66.67% | 76.19% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | CSUS | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.4 | 5.3 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.581 | 0.243 |
| Opp Completion % | 71.56% | 62.25% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 39.13% | 33.33% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 85.71% | 80.00% |