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W Kentucky at Middle Tenn: Point Spread Line Movement

Thursday Oct 6, 2011 7:30 pm - Murfreesboro, TN
Odds: Middle Tennessee by 10, Total Points: 52.5

More Games From Week 6
MTU -10.0 Open -8.5 High -11.5
Last -11.5 Low -8.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2006-2007 college football season there have been 209 games where the closing line favored the home team by 9 to 11 points. In these games:

  • The team like Middle Tennessee State won the game 152 times (72.7%)
  • The team like Western Kentucky won the game 57 times (27.3%)
  • The team like Western Kentucky did better against the spread, going 112-95-2 (54.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2008-2009 college football season there have been 288 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Middle Tennessee State did better against the spread, going 164-122-2 (57.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.8 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -10.0 -10.5 -10.5
Open -8.5 -8.5 -9.0
History
10/06 07:30 PM -10.0 -- --
10/06 07:18 PM -- -- -10.5
10/06 07:16 PM -10.0 -- --
10/06 12:06 PM -10.0 -- --
10/06 02:26 AM -11.5 -- --
10/05 03:45 PM -- -10.5 --
10/05 03:38 PM -- -- -10.5
10/05 03:36 PM -11.5 -- --
10/05 12:36 PM -11.5 -- --
10/05 09:48 AM -- -- -11.5
10/05 09:46 AM -11.5 -- --
10/05 03:36 AM -11.5 -- --
10/04 06:58 PM -- -- -11.5
10/04 06:35 PM -- -11.5 --
10/04 10:16 AM -11.5 -- --
10/03 06:05 PM -- -11.0 --
10/03 04:58 PM -- -- -11.0
10/03 04:56 PM -11.0 -- --
10/03 02:56 PM -10.5 -- --
10/03 02:48 PM -- -- -10.0
10/03 02:15 PM -- -10.0 --
10/03 12:28 PM -- -- -9.5
10/03 12:26 PM -9.5 -- --
10/03 09:56 AM -10.0 -- --
10/03 09:35 AM -- -9.5 --
10/03 09:28 AM -- -- -9.5
10/03 02:16 AM -9.5 -- --
10/03 01:05 AM -- -9.0 --
10/02 08:28 PM -- -- -9.0
10/02 08:26 PM -9.5 -- --
10/02 07:25 PM -- -8.5 --
09/29 07:30 PM -8.5 -- --