Tulsa at New Mexico St: Recap
Saturday Sep 6, 2025 9:00 pm -
Las Cruces, NM
Odds:
Tulsa by 3.5,
Total Points:
52.5
Matchup Menu: TLSA @ NMSU
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa | TLSA | 65.4% | ||
| NMSU | 34.6% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA -3.5 | TLSA | 53.5% | ||
| NMSU | 46.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 52.5 | Over | 53.6% | ||
| Under | 46.4% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA -165 | TLSA | +3.1% | ||
| NMSU | -7.9% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA | 29.6 | 29 | 28.0 | 14 |
| NMSU | 24.8 | 24 | 24.5 | 21 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TLSA | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.1 |
| Points/Play | 0.365 | 0.275 |
| Rush Play % | 47.77% | 44.41% |
| Pass Play % | 52.23% | 55.59% |
| Completion % | 58.93% | 54.65% |
| 3D Conv % | 26.67% | 38.46% |
| RZ Scoring % | 82.35% | 90.91% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TLSA | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.2 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.350 | 0.393 |
| Opp Completion % | 63.86% | 66.67% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 44.16% | 41.89% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 79.17% | 92.31% |