Southern Miss at Troy: Recap
Tuesday Oct 6, 2026 8:00 pm -
Troy, AL
Odds:
Troy by 9.5,
Total Points:
51.5
Matchup Menu: USM @ TROY
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | USM | 22.4% | ||
| TROY | 77.6% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY -9.5 | USM | 48.0% | ||
| TROY | 52.0% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 51.5 | Over | 51.9% | ||
| Under | 48.1% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | USM | -2.0% | ||
| TROY | -2.8% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM | 21.0 | 21 | 21.0 | 34 |
| TROY | 31.0 | 31 | 30.5 | 55 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | USM | TROY |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.5 | 5.6 |
| Points/Play | 0.300 | 0.345 |
| Rush Play % | 40.79% | 56.03% |
| Pass Play % | 59.21% | 43.97% |
| Completion % | 62.09% | 57.94% |
| 3D Conv % | 30.00% | 42.37% |
| RZ Scoring % | 61.54% | 92.86% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | USM | TROY |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.7 | 6.1 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.528 | 0.409 |
| Opp Completion % | 65.14% | 63.16% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 47.46% | 31.82% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 84.21% | 62.50% |