Southern Miss at Mississippi St: Recap
Saturday Nov 18, 2023 12:00 pm -
Starkville, MS
Odds:
Mississippi State by 18.5,
Total Points:
48
Matchup Menu: USM @ MSST
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi St | USM | 11.7% | ||
| MSST | 88.3% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM +18.5 | USM | 52.2% | ||
| MSST | 47.8% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 48.0 | Over | 49.2% | ||
| Under | 50.8% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | USM | -2.0% | ||
| MSST | -1.8% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM | 15.1 | 14 | 14.8 | 20 |
| MSST | 32.7 | 34 | 33.2 | 41 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | USM | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.5 | 6.6 |
| Points/Play | 0.300 | 0.528 |
| Rush Play % | 40.79% | 50.68% |
| Pass Play % | 59.21% | 49.32% |
| Completion % | 62.09% | 65.68% |
| 3D Conv % | 30.00% | 47.62% |
| RZ Scoring % | 61.54% | 90.48% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | USM | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.7 | 5.3 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.528 | 0.390 |
| Opp Completion % | 65.14% | 62.78% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 47.46% | 36.11% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 84.21% | 88.24% |