Notre Dame at North Carolina: Recap
Saturday Oct 3, 2026 12:00 pm -
Chapel Hill, NC
Odds:
Notre Dame by 21,
Total Points:
46.5
Matchup Menu: ND @ UNC
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | ND | 91.3% | ||
| UNC | 8.7% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC +21.5 | ND | 46.0% | ||
| UNC | 54.0% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 46.5 | Over | 51.1% | ||
| Under | 48.9% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | ND | -3.6% | ||
| UNC | -0.2% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ND | 33.7 | 34 | 34.0 | 37 |
| UNC | 13.1 | 13 | 12.5 | 26 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | ND | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.6 | 5.2 |
| Points/Play | 0.630 | 0.332 |
| Rush Play % | 56.27% | 49.46% |
| Pass Play % | 43.73% | 50.54% |
| Completion % | 70.21% | 53.49% |
| 3D Conv % | 40.38% | 37.14% |
| RZ Scoring % | 91.67% | 90.91% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | ND | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 3.8 | 5.3 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.207 | 0.346 |
| Opp Completion % | 62.40% | 67.03% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 37.50% | 40.00% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 80.00% | 75.00% |