Illinois at Penn State

  Saturday Oct 29, 2011 - 3:30 pm - University Park, PA | Odds: Penn State by 4.5, Total Points: 38 | Team Pages: ILL | PSU


PSU -4.5 Open -6.0 High -6.0
Last -5.0 Low -4.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from Pinnacle Sports

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2006-2007 college football season there have been 258 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Penn State won the game 155 times (60.1%)
  • The team like Illinois won the game 103 times (39.9%)
  • The team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 132-124-2 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2008-2009 college football season there have been 308 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 174-132-2 (56.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.5 points.