Illinois at Duke: Recap
Saturday Sep 6, 2025 12:00 pm -
Durham, NC
Odds:
Illinois by 2.5,
Total Points:
48.5
Matchup Menu: ILL @ DUKE
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois | ILL | 53.6% | ||
| DUKE | 46.4% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE +2.5 | ILL | 48.8% | ||
| DUKE | 51.2% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.5 | Over | 52.0% | ||
| Under | 48.0% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | ILL | -3.8% | ||
| DUKE | -0.1% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | 25.6 | 24 | 25.5 | 45 |
| DUKE | 23.7 | 23 | 23.0 | 19 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | ILL | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.0 | 5.8 |
| Points/Play | 0.447 | 0.382 |
| Rush Play % | 47.19% | 58.66% |
| Pass Play % | 52.81% | 41.34% |
| Completion % | 63.64% | 58.62% |
| 3D Conv % | 45.61% | 43.64% |
| RZ Scoring % | 76.47% | 78.95% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | ILL | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.2 | 5.1 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.488 | 0.264 |
| Opp Completion % | 70.63% | 63.64% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 50.82% | 29.79% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 100.00% | 87.50% |