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Alabama at Florida St: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Aug 30, 2025 3:30 pm - Tallahassee, FL
Odds: Alabama by 13.5, Total Points: 47.5

Matchup Menu: ALA @ FSU

More Games From Week 1

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 47.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 47.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Over 47.5	Similar Games	56% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ALA	FSU
Season	6-9-0	6-6-0
vs Conference	3-7-0	2-6-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 1
Last 5	1-4-0	1-4-0
Last 10	3-7-0	4-6-0
Home	2-5-0	4-3-0
Away	4-4-0	2-3-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Alabama Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
08/30	Away	Florida St	47.5	17-31	Over	+0.5
09/06	Home	UL Monroe	49.0	73-0	Over	+24.0
09/13	Home	Wisconsin	45.5	38-14	Over	+6.5
09/27	Away	Georgia	54.0	24-21	Under	-9.0
10/04	Home	Vanderbilt	57.5	30-14	Under	-13.5
10/11	Away	Missouri	50.5	27-24	Over	+0.5
10/18	Home	Tennessee	61.5	37-20	Under	-4.5
10/25	Away	South Carolina	48.0	29-22	Over	+3.0
11/08	Home	LSU	49.5	20-9	Under	-20.5
11/15	Home	Oklahoma	46.0	21-23	Under	-2.0
11/22	Home	E Illinois	57.5	56-0	Under	-1.5
11/29	Away	Auburn	49.0	27-20	Under	-2.0
12/06	Neutral	Georgia	48.5	7-28	Under	-13.5
12/19	Away	Oklahoma	42.5	34-24	Over	+15.5
01/01	Neutral	Indiana	46.5	3-38	Under	-5.5

Florida St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
08/30	Home	Alabama	47.5	31-17	Over	+0.5
09/06	Home	Texas A&M-Commerce	58.5	77-3	Over	+21.5
09/20	Home	Kent St	56.0	66-10	Over	+20.0
09/26	Away	Virginia	59.5	38-46	Over	+24.5
10/04	Home	Miami	54.0	22-28	Under	-4.0
10/11	Home	Pittsburgh	56.5	31-34	Over	+8.5
10/18	Away	Stanford	54.5	13-20	Under	-21.5
11/01	Home	Wake Forest	51.5	42-7	Under	-2.5
11/08	Away	Clemson	57.5	10-24	Under	-23.5
11/15	Home	Virginia Tech	55.5	34-14	Under	-7.5
11/21	Away	NC State	58.5	11-21	Under	-26.5
11/29	Away	Florida	48.5	21-40	Over	+12.5