Alabama at Mississippi St: Recap
Saturday Oct 3, 2026 12:00 pm -
Starkville, MS
Odds:
Alabama by 5.5,
Total Points:
63.5
Matchup Menu: ALA @ MSST
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | ALA | 68.5% | ||
| MSST | 31.5% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA -5.5 | ALA | 52.0% | ||
| MSST | 48.0% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 62.5 | Over | 47.5% | ||
| Under | 52.5% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA -212 | ALA | +0.5% | ||
| MSST | -4.9% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA | 33.9 | 34 | 34.0 | 56 |
| MSST | 27.6 | 28 | 28.5 | 23 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | ALA | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.7 | 6.6 |
| Points/Play | 0.656 | 0.528 |
| Rush Play % | 54.70% | 50.68% |
| Pass Play % | 45.30% | 49.32% |
| Completion % | 67.66% | 65.68% |
| 3D Conv % | 48.57% | 47.62% |
| RZ Scoring % | 100.00% | 90.48% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | ALA | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.3 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.318 | 0.390 |
| Opp Completion % | 60.57% | 62.78% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 31.71% | 36.11% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 94.44% | 88.24% |