Virginia at NC State: Recap
Saturday Sep 6, 2025 12:00 pm -
Raleigh, NC
Odds:
NC State by 2.5,
Total Points:
53.5
Matchup Menu: UVA @ NCST
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | UVA | 47.2% | ||
| NCST | 52.8% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA +2.5 | UVA | 52.1% | ||
| NCST | 47.9% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 53.5 | Over | 46.5% | ||
| Under | 53.5% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA +125 | UVA | +2.8% | ||
| NCST | -6.4% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | 25.1 | 24 | 25.5 | 31 |
| NCST | 26.7 | 27 | 28.0 | 35 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | UVA | NCST |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.9 | 5.2 |
| Points/Play | 0.350 | 0.371 |
| Rush Play % | 55.73% | 51.51% |
| Pass Play % | 44.27% | 48.50% |
| Completion % | 64.17% | 64.75% |
| 3D Conv % | 31.67% | 49.21% |
| RZ Scoring % | 71.43% | 82.35% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | UVA | NCST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.9 | 6.8 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.347 | 0.518 |
| Opp Completion % | 48.89% | 66.67% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 38.89% | 34.69% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 90.91% | 76.92% |