Louisville at NC State: Recap
Saturday Oct 3, 2026 3:30 pm -
Raleigh, NC
Odds:
Louisville by 5,
Total Points:
57.5
Matchup Menu: LOU @ NCST
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | LOU | 64.9% | ||
| NCST | 35.1% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST +5.5 | LOU | 48.0% | ||
| NCST | 52.0% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 56.5 | Over | 51.5% | ||
| Under | 48.5% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | LOU | -3.4% | ||
| NCST | -0.9% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU | 30.9 | 31 | 31.0 | 28 |
| NCST | 26.4 | 26 | 25.5 | 31 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | LOU | NCST |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 7.2 | 5.0 |
| Points/Play | 0.546 | 0.342 |
| Rush Play % | 55.83% | 48.63% |
| Pass Play % | 44.17% | 51.37% |
| Completion % | 68.42% | 66.48% |
| 3D Conv % | 42.37% | 47.44% |
| RZ Scoring % | 73.33% | 78.95% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | LOU | NCST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 6.5 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.391 | 0.524 |
| Opp Completion % | 60.59% | 69.39% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 39.19% | 38.71% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 78.95% | 84.21% |