Louisville at SMU: Recap
Saturday Nov 22, 2025 12:00 pm -
Dallas, TX
Odds:
SMU by 3.5,
Total Points:
50
Matchup Menu: LOU @ SMU
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | LOU | 34.6% | ||
| SMU | 65.4% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU -3.5 | LOU | 46.5% | ||
| SMU | 53.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 50.0 | Over | 44.6% | ||
| Under | 55.4% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU -185 | LOU | -3.7% | ||
| SMU | +0.4% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU | 21.5 | 20 | 23.2 | 6 |
| SMU | 26.3 | 27 | 26.8 | 38 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | LOU | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 7.2 | 6.3 |
| Points/Play | 0.546 | 0.399 |
| Rush Play % | 55.83% | 50.51% |
| Pass Play % | 44.17% | 49.49% |
| Completion % | 68.42% | 73.57% |
| 3D Conv % | 42.37% | 51.85% |
| RZ Scoring % | 73.33% | 76.47% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | LOU | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 4.9 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.391 | 0.389 |
| Opp Completion % | 60.59% | 60.71% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 39.19% | 28.07% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 78.95% | 87.50% |