Louisville at Miami: Recap
Friday Oct 17, 2025 7:00 pm -
Miami Gardens, FL
Odds:
Miami (FL) by 10,
Total Points:
49.5
Matchup Menu: LOU @ MIA
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | LOU | 22.6% | ||
| MIA | 77.4% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU +10.0 | LOU | 50.3% | ||
| MIA | 49.7% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 49.5 | Over | 48.4% | ||
| Under | 51.6% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | LOU | -0.1% | ||
| MIA | -3.9% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU | 19.4 | 20 | 19.8 | 24 |
| MIA | 29.4 | 30 | 29.8 | 21 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | LOU | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.7 | 7.1 |
| Points/Play | 0.502 | 0.633 |
| Rush Play % | 52.06% | 50.00% |
| Pass Play % | 47.94% | 50.00% |
| Completion % | 67.80% | 80.77% |
| 3D Conv % | 42.00% | 52.27% |
| RZ Scoring % | 72.73% | 100.00% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | LOU | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.0 | 4.3 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.429 | 0.157 |
| Opp Completion % | 62.12% | 63.92% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 38.60% | 38.98% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 81.25% | 75.00% |