Buffalo at Penn St: Recap
Saturday Sep 19, 2026 12:00 pm -
University Park, PA
Odds:
Penn State by 39.5,
Total Points:
48.5
Matchup Menu: BUFF @ PSU
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penn St | BUFF | 0.3% | ||
| PSU | 99.7% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF +39.5 | BUFF | 52.0% | ||
| PSU | 48.0% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 47.5 | Over | 53.4% | ||
| Under | 46.6% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Pick | BUFF | -- | ||
| PSU | -- | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF | 4.9 | 3 | 4.0 | 13 |
| PSU | 43.6 | 42 | 43.5 | 55 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | BUFF | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.0 | 5.9 |
| Points/Play | 0.255 | 0.459 |
| Rush Play % | 54.90% | 52.38% |
| Pass Play % | 45.10% | 47.62% |
| Completion % | 49.57% | 63.19% |
| 3D Conv % | 27.27% | 36.59% |
| RZ Scoring % | 84.62% | 84.62% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | BUFF | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.5 | 5.0 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.431 | 0.294 |
| Opp Completion % | 63.93% | 56.88% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 34.62% | 25.97% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 93.33% | 94.44% |