Mississippi St at Arkansas: Recap
Saturday Nov 1, 2025 4:00 pm -
Fayetteville, AR
Odds:
Arkansas by 4.5,
Total Points:
66.5
Matchup Menu: MSST @ ARK
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas | MSST | 37.0% | ||
| ARK | 63.0% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST +4.5 | MSST | 51.9% | ||
| ARK | 48.1% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 66.5 | Over | 43.8% | ||
| Under | 56.2% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | MSST | -0.7% | ||
| ARK | -3.7% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST | 30.1 | 31 | 31.0 | 38 |
| ARK | 33.9 | 34 | 35.5 | 35 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MSST | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 8.4 | 3.8 |
| Points/Play | 0.676 | 0.125 |
| Rush Play % | 56.08% | 35.00% |
| Pass Play % | 43.92% | 65.00% |
| Completion % | 67.19% | 45.83% |
| 3D Conv % | 52.38% | 41.18% |
| RZ Scoring % | 90.00% | 100.00% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MSST | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.2 | 7.0 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.193 | 0.683 |
| Opp Completion % | 61.84% | 71.43% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 24.14% | 55.56% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 50.00% | 100.00% |