This section is showing information as of the end the 2025-26 season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 College Football section (about a week before the season starts), register for a free account.

Mississippi St at Southern Miss: Recap

Saturday Aug 30, 2025 12:00 pm - Hattiesburg, MS
Odds: Mississippi State by 14, Total Points: 59.5

Matchup Menu: MSST @ USM

More Games From Week 1
Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Mississippi St MSST 85.2%
USM 14.8%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MSST -14.0 MSST 53.0%
USM 47.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 59.5 Over 50.3%
Under 49.7%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
MSST -560 MSST +0.3%
USM -4.4%
Final Score Projection Likely Score Vegas Implied Actual
MSST 37.5 38 36.8 34
USM 22.3 23 22.8 17

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MSST USM
Yards/Play 5.0 5.6
Points/Play 0.358 0.384
Rush Play % 55.28% 49.49%
Pass Play % 44.72% 50.51%
Completion % 61.99% 63.27%
3D Conv % 40.98% 39.89%
RZ Scoring % 86.96% 80.95%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MSST USM
Opp Yards/Play 6.0 5.3
Opp Points/Play 0.457 0.362
Opp Completion % 60.43% 64.34%
Opp 3D Conv % 42.52% 45.86%
Opp RZ Scoring % 83.72% 81.63%