Texas St at Arkansas St: Recap
Saturday Oct 4, 2025 4:00 pm -
Jonesboro, AR
Odds:
Texas State by 13.5,
Total Points:
63.5
Matchup Menu: TXST @ ARST
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas St | TXST | 84.1% | ||
| ARST | 15.9% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST -13.5 | TXST | 53.0% | ||
| ARST | 47.0% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 63.5 | Over | 47.3% | ||
| Under | 52.7% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST -500 | TXST | +0.8% | ||
| ARST | -4.8% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | 38.3 | 38 | 38.5 | 30 |
| ARST | 24.1 | 24 | 25.0 | 31 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TXST | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.7 | 6.1 |
| Points/Play | 0.439 | 0.381 |
| Rush Play % | 62.78% | 45.60% |
| Pass Play % | 37.22% | 54.40% |
| Completion % | 65.28% | 67.92% |
| 3D Conv % | 52.17% | 49.12% |
| RZ Scoring % | 70.37% | 84.21% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TXST | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.2 | 6.7 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.515 | 0.522 |
| Opp Completion % | 70.05% | 74.75% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 41.43% | 48.21% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 75.00% | 95.00% |