Texas St at Arkansas St: Recap
Saturday Nov 18, 2023 3:00 pm -
Jonesboro, AR
Odds:
Texas State by 3,
Total Points:
59.5
Matchup Menu: TXST @ ARST
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas St | TXST | 60.1% | ||
| ARST | 39.9% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST -3.0 | TXST | 51.8% | ||
| ARST | 48.2% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 59.5 | Over | 43.8% | ||
| Under | 56.2% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | TXST | -2.1% | ||
| ARST | -1.8% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | 30.4 | 30 | 31.2 | 31 |
| ARST | 27.1 | 27 | 28.2 | 77 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TXST | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.1 | 6.1 |
| Points/Play | 0.337 | 0.381 |
| Rush Play % | 60.18% | 45.60% |
| Pass Play % | 39.82% | 54.40% |
| Completion % | 64.00% | 67.92% |
| 3D Conv % | 51.67% | 49.12% |
| RZ Scoring % | 61.11% | 84.21% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TXST | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.2 | 6.7 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.553 | 0.522 |
| Opp Completion % | 71.79% | 74.75% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 45.45% | 48.21% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 72.73% | 95.00% |