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Duke at Virginia: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Nov 12, 2011 3:00 pm - Charlottesville, VA
Odds: Virginia by 9.5, Total Points: 53

Matchup Menu: DUKE @ UVA

More Games From Week 11

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 54.0	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go over
Over 53.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go over
Over 53.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	DUKE	UVA
Season	7-5-1	8-2-2
vs Conference	5-3-0	5-1-2
Streak	Un 1	Ov 5
Last 5	4-1-0	5-0-0
Last 10	6-4-0	6-2-2
Home	3-3-1	4-2-0
Away	4-2-0	4-0-2

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Duke Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/04	Home	Clemson	55.0	28-7	Under	-20.0
09/09	Home	Lafayette	49.0	42-7	Push	0.0
09/16	Home	Northwestern	48.0	38-14	Over	+4.0
09/23	Away	Connecticut	45.5	41-7	Over	+2.5
09/30	Home	Notre Dame	53.0	14-21	Under	-18.0
10/14	Home	NC State	42.5	24-3	Under	-15.5
10/21	Away	Florida St	48.5	20-38	Over	+9.5
10/28	Away	Louisville	47.0	0-23	Under	-24.0
11/02	Home	Wake Forest	41.0	24-21	Over	+4.0
11/11	Away	N Carolina	53.5	45-47	Over	+38.5
11/18	Away	Virginia	45.5	27-30	Over	+11.5
11/25	Home	Pittsburgh	41.0	30-19	Over	+8.0
12/23	Neutral	Troy	44.0	17-10	Under	-17.0

Virginia Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/02	Neutral	Tennessee	55.5	13-49	Over	+6.5
09/09	Home	James Mad	39.5	35-36	Over	+31.5
09/15	Away	Maryland	48.0	14-42	Over	+8.0
09/22	Home	NC State	47.0	21-24	Under	-2.0
09/30	Away	Boston Col	51.0	24-27	Push	0.0
10/07	Home	Wm & Mary	41.5	27-13	Under	-1.5
10/21	Away	N Carolina	58.0	31-27	Push	0.0
10/28	Away	Miami	48.0	26-29	Over	+7.0
11/04	Home	GA Tech	56.5	17-45	Over	+5.5
11/09	Away	Louisville	50.0	24-31	Over	+5.0
11/18	Home	Duke	45.5	30-27	Over	+11.5
11/25	Home	VA Tech	53.5	17-55	Over	+18.5