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Missouri St at USC: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Aug 30, 2025 7:30 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: USC by 36.5, Total Points: 60

Matchup Menu: MOST @ USC

More Games From Week 1

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 60.0	Official TR Pick	57% odds to go under
Under 60.0	Similar Games	58% odds to go under
Under 60.0	Decision Tree	57% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MOST	USC
Season	5-8-0	7-6-0
vs Conference	3-5-0	4-5-0
Streak	Ov 4	Ov 1
Last 5	4-1-0	3-2-0
Last 10	4-6-0	5-5-0
Home	2-4-0	4-3-0
Away	3-4-0	3-3-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Missouri St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
08/30	Away	USC	60.0	13-73	Over	+26.0
09/06	Away	Marshall	53.5	21-20	Under	-12.5
09/13	Home	SMU	60.5	10-28	Under	-22.5
09/20	Home	TN Martin	55.5	42-10	Under	-3.5
09/27	Home	W Kentucky	60.0	22-27	Under	-11.0
10/08	Away	Middle Tenn	51.5	22-20	Under	-9.5
10/22	Away	New Mexico St	51.5	24-17	Under	-10.5
10/29	Home	Florida Intl	50.5	28-21	Under	-1.5
11/08	Away	Liberty	51.5	21-17	Under	-13.5
11/15	Home	UTEP	47.5	38-24	Over	+14.5
11/22	Away	Kennesaw St	54.5	34-41	Over	+20.5
11/29	Home	Louisiana Tech	45.0	30-42	Over	+27.0
12/18	Neutral	Arkansas St	55.0	28-34	Over	+7.0

USC Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
08/30	Home	Missouri St	60.0	73-13	Over	+26.0
09/06	Home	Georgia So	61.5	59-20	Over	+17.5
09/13	Away	Purdue	61.0	33-17	Under	-11.0
09/20	Home	Michigan St	56.0	45-31	Over	+20.0
09/27	Away	Illinois	61.5	32-34	Over	+4.5
10/11	Home	Michigan	57.0	31-13	Under	-13.0
10/18	Away	Notre Dame	60.0	24-34	Under	-2.0
11/01	Away	Nebraska	59.5	21-17	Under	-21.5
11/07	Home	Northwestern	54.0	38-17	Over	+1.0
11/15	Home	Iowa	49.0	26-21	Under	-2.0
11/22	Away	Oregon	60.0	27-42	Over	+9.0
11/29	Home	UCLA	59.0	29-10	Under	-20.0
12/30	Neutral	TCU	56.5	27-30	Over	+0.5