Missouri St at Middle Tenn: Point Spread Analysis
Wednesday Oct 8, 2025 7:30 pm -
Murfreesboro, TN
Odds:
Missouri State by 3,
Total Points:
51.5
Matchup Menu: MOST @ MTU
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Middle Tenn +3.0 | Official TR Pick | Middle Tenn 50% odds to cover |
| Middle Tenn +3.0 | Power Ratings | Middle Tenn 50% odds to cover |
| Middle Tenn +3.0 | Similar Games | Middle Tenn 52% odds to cover |
| Middle Tenn +3.0 | Decision Tree | Middle Tenn 55% odds to cover |
| Missouri St -3.0 | Predictive Ratings | Missouri St 51% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MOST | adv | MTU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-0-0 | 0-1-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Home | 1-1-0 | 2-0-0 | |
| Away | 1-1-0 | 1-2-0 |
Missouri St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Away | Texas A&M | +38.5 | L by 50 | -11.5 |
| 09/12 | Home | Lindenwood | -16.5 | W by 34 | +17.5 |
| 09/19 | Home | Marshall | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 09/26 | Away | SMU | +30.5 | L by 10 | +20.5 |
Middle Tenn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Home | Murray St | -22.5 | W by 24 | +1.5 |
| 09/12 | Away | Marshall | +11.5 | L by 2 | +9.5 |
| 09/19 | Home | Nevada | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 09/26 | Away | Jacksonville St | +7.0 | L by 10 | -3.0 |
| 10/03 | Away | Kansas | +21.5 | L by 55 | -33.5 |