Missouri St at Middle Tenn: Recap
Wednesday Oct 8, 2025 7:30 pm -
Murfreesboro, TN
Odds:
Missouri State by 3,
Total Points:
51.5
Matchup Menu: MOST @ MTU
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri St | MOST | 58.3% | ||
| MTU | 41.7% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTU +3.0 | MOST | 49.8% | ||
| MTU | 50.2% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 51.5 | Over | 50.4% | ||
| Under | 49.6% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | MOST | -1.2% | ||
| MTU | -2.4% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST | 27.3 | 27 | 27.2 | 22 |
| MTU | 24.3 | 24 | 24.2 | 20 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MOST | MTU |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| Points/Play | 0.274 | 0.273 |
| Rush Play % | 49.71% | 43.80% |
| Pass Play % | 50.29% | 56.20% |
| Completion % | 62.50% | 52.31% |
| 3D Conv % | 24.32% | 24.49% |
| RZ Scoring % | 66.67% | 100.00% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MOST | MTU |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.5 | 6.7 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.479 | 0.467 |
| Opp Completion % | 72.82% | 65.00% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 56.41% | 41.30% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 78.95% | 94.44% |