Sam Houston at New Mexico St: Recap
Thursday Oct 2, 2025 9:00 pm -
Las Cruces, NM
Odds:
Sam Houston by 1.5,
Total Points:
51.5
Matchup Menu: SHSU @ NMSU
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston | SHSU | 50.2% | ||
| NMSU | 49.8% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU +2.0 | SHSU | 46.5% | ||
| NMSU | 53.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 51.5 | Over | 49.5% | ||
| Under | 50.5% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU +111 | SHSU | -6.5% | ||
| NMSU | +2.4% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | 26.0 | 27 | 26.8 | 10 |
| NMSU | 25.4 | 24 | 24.8 | 37 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | SHSU | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.6 | 5.1 |
| Points/Play | 0.201 | 0.275 |
| Rush Play % | 40.66% | 44.41% |
| Pass Play % | 59.34% | 55.59% |
| Completion % | 65.10% | 54.65% |
| 3D Conv % | 34.48% | 38.46% |
| RZ Scoring % | 66.67% | 90.91% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | SHSU | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.0 | 5.2 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.491 | 0.393 |
| Opp Completion % | 54.90% | 66.67% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 37.50% | 41.89% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 80.00% | 92.31% |