San Diego St at Toledo: Recap
Saturday Sep 26, 2026 12:00 pm -
Toledo, OH
Odds:
Toledo by 2.5,
Total Points:
50.5
Matchup Menu: SDSU @ TOL
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | SDSU | 45.1% | ||
| TOL | 54.9% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL -2.5 | SDSU | 49.9% | ||
| TOL | 50.1% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 50.5 | Over | 50.2% | ||
| Under | 49.8% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | SDSU | -0.5% | ||
| TOL | -3.8% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU | 24.0 | 24 | 24.0 | 16 |
| TOL | 26.5 | 27 | 26.5 | 41 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | SDSU | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.3 | 6.7 |
| Points/Play | 0.269 | 0.542 |
| Rush Play % | 54.23% | 52.36% |
| Pass Play % | 45.77% | 47.64% |
| Completion % | 57.14% | 64.34% |
| 3D Conv % | 24.53% | 46.30% |
| RZ Scoring % | 66.67% | 93.33% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | SDSU | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.0 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.388 | 0.400 |
| Opp Completion % | 65.52% | 65.38% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 41.38% | 38.98% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 75.00% | 92.31% |