New Mexico St at New Mexico: Recap
Saturday Sep 27, 2025 4:00 pm -
Albuquerque, NM
Odds:
New Mexico by 16.5,
Total Points:
52.5
Matchup Menu: NMSU @ UNM
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico | NMSU | 13.4% | ||
| UNM | 86.6% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM -16.0 | NMSU | 48.3% | ||
| UNM | 51.7% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 52.5 | Over | 46.8% | ||
| Under | 53.2% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | NMSU | -4.0% | ||
| UNM | -0.1% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | 17.4 | 17 | 18.2 | 20 |
| UNM | 34.2 | 34 | 34.2 | 38 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | NMSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.5 |
| Points/Play | 0.275 | 0.553 |
| Rush Play % | 44.41% | 64.29% |
| Pass Play % | 55.59% | 35.71% |
| Completion % | 54.65% | 61.90% |
| 3D Conv % | 38.46% | 43.14% |
| RZ Scoring % | 90.91% | 85.00% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | NMSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 4.7 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.393 | 0.192 |
| Opp Completion % | 66.67% | 58.16% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 41.89% | 36.54% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 92.31% | 75.00% |